Division of General Internal Medicine, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, New York, United States of America.
James J. Peters VA Medical Center, Bronx, New York, New York, United States of America.
PLoS One. 2021 Mar 18;16(3):e0248067. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0248067. eCollection 2021.
Veterans are at increased risk of lung cancer and many have comorbidities such as chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and coronary artery disease (CAD). We used simulation modeling to assess projected outcomes associated with different management strategies of Veterans with stage I non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) with COPD and/or CAD.
Using data from a cohort of 14,029 Veterans (years 2000-2015) with NSCLC we extended a well-validated mathematical model of lung cancer to represent the management and outcomes of Veterans with stage I NSCLC with COPD, with or without comorbid CAD. We simulated multiple randomized trials to compare treatment with lobectomy, limited resection, or stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT). Model output estimated expected quality adjusted life years (QALY) of Veterans with stage I NSCLC according to age, tumor size, histologic subtype, COPD severity and CAD diagnosis.
For Veterans <70 years old lobectomy was associated with greater projected quality-adjusted life expectancy regardless of comorbidity status. For most combinations of tumors and comorbidity profiles there was no dominant treatment for Veterans ≥80 years of age, but less invasive treatments were often superior to lobectomy. Dominant treatment choices differed by CAD status for older patients in a third of scenarios, but not for patients <70 years old.
The harm/benefit ratio of treatments for stage I NSCLC among Veterans may vary according to COPD severity and the presence of CAD. This information can be used to direct future research study design for Veterans with stage I lung cancer and COPD and/or CAD.
退伍军人患肺癌的风险增加,许多人患有合并症,如慢性阻塞性肺疾病(COPD)和冠状动脉疾病(CAD)。我们使用模拟建模来评估患有 COPD 和/或 CAD 的 I 期非小细胞肺癌(NSCLC)退伍军人不同管理策略相关的预期结果。
利用来自 14029 名 NSCLC 退伍军人队列的数据(2000 年至 2015 年),我们扩展了一个经过良好验证的肺癌数学模型,以代表患有 COPD 和/或 CAD 的 I 期 NSCLC 退伍军人的管理和结果。我们模拟了多项随机试验,以比较肺叶切除术、有限切除术或立体定向体部放射治疗(SBRT)的治疗效果。模型输出根据年龄、肿瘤大小、组织学亚型、COPD 严重程度和 CAD 诊断来估计 I 期 NSCLC 退伍军人的预期质量调整生命年(QALY)。
对于<70 岁的退伍军人,无论合并症状态如何,肺叶切除术与预期质量调整生命预期的增加有关。对于大多数肿瘤和合并症特征的组合,对于≥80 岁的退伍军人来说,没有主导性的治疗方法,但侵入性较小的治疗方法通常优于肺叶切除术。对于三分之一的老年患者,CAD 状态的不同会导致治疗方案的主导性选择不同,但对于<70 岁的患者则不然。
根据 COPD 严重程度和 CAD 的存在,退伍军人 I 期 NSCLC 的治疗危害/效益比可能会有所不同。这些信息可以用于指导未来针对患有 I 期肺癌和 COPD 和/或 CAD 的退伍军人的研究设计。