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大气氧含量变化对人体生理的影响。是否有理由担忧?

Impacts of Changes in Atmospheric O on Human Physiology. Is There a Basis for Concern?

作者信息

Keeling Ralph F, Powell Frank L, Shaffer Gary, Robbins Peter A, Simonson Tatum S

机构信息

Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, United States.

Division of Pulmonary, Critical Care and Sleep Medicine, Department of Medicine, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, United States.

出版信息

Front Physiol. 2021 Mar 2;12:571137. doi: 10.3389/fphys.2021.571137. eCollection 2021.

Abstract

Concern is often voiced over the ongoing loss of atmospheric O. This loss, which is caused by fossil-fuel burning but also influenced by other processes, is likely to continue at least for the next few centuries. We argue that this loss is quite well understood, and the eventual decrease is bounded by the fossil-fuel resource base. Because the atmospheric O reservoir is so large, the predicted relative drop in O is very small even for extreme scenarios of future fossil-fuel usage which produce increases in atmospheric CO sufficient to cause catastrophic climate changes. At sea level, the ultimate drop in oxygen partial pressure will be less than 2.5 mm Hg out of a baseline of 159 mmHg. The drop by year 2300 is likely to be between 0.5 and 1.3 mmHg. The implications for normal human health is negligible because respiratory O consumption in healthy individuals is only weakly dependent on ambient partial pressure, especially at sea level. The impacts on top athlete performance, on disease, on reproduction, and on cognition, will also be very small. For people living at higher elevations, the implications of this loss will be even smaller, because of a counteracting increase in barometric pressure at higher elevations due to global warming.

摘要

人们常常对大气中氧气的持续流失表示担忧。这种流失是由化石燃料燃烧导致的,但也受到其他过程的影响,至少在未来几个世纪可能会持续。我们认为这种流失已得到相当充分的理解,最终的减少受限于化石燃料资源基础。由于大气氧气库如此庞大,即使在未来化石燃料使用的极端情景下,即大气二氧化碳增加到足以引发灾难性气候变化,预计氧气的相对下降也非常小。在海平面,氧气分压从159毫米汞柱的基线最终下降将小于2.5毫米汞柱。到2300年下降幅度可能在0.5至1.3毫米汞柱之间。对正常人类健康的影响可以忽略不计,因为健康个体的呼吸耗氧量仅微弱依赖于环境分压,尤其是在海平面。对顶级运动员表现、疾病、生殖和认知的影响也将非常小。对于生活在较高海拔地区的人来说,这种流失的影响甚至会更小,因为全球变暖导致较高海拔地区气压有抵消性增加。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5068/7960674/f2624f6ba1b3/fphys-12-571137-g001.jpg

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