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随机效应线性模型在牛肝脏痕量矿物质浓度群体水平评估中的应用。

Random-effects linear model application to herd-level assessment of bovine hepatic trace mineral concentrations.

机构信息

Veterinary Diagnostic Laboratory, College of Veterinary Medicine, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI.

Center for Animal and Human Health in Appalachia, College of Veterinary Medicine, Lincoln Memorial University, Harrogate, TN.

出版信息

J Vet Diagn Invest. 2021 May;33(3):469-478. doi: 10.1177/1040638721999368. Epub 2021 Mar 20.

Abstract

To evaluate the utility of random-effects linear modeling for herd-level evaluation of trace mineral status, we performed a retrospective analysis of the results for trace mineral testing of bovine liver samples submitted to the Michigan State University Veterinary Diagnostic Laboratory between 2011 and 2017. Our aim was to examine random-effects models for their potential utility in improving interpretation with minimal sample numbers. The database consisted of 1,658 animals distributed among 121 herds. Minerals were assayed by inductively coupled plasma-mass spectroscopy, and included cobalt, copper, iron, molybdenum, manganese, selenium, and zinc. Intraclass correlation coefficients for each mineral were significantly different ( < 0.001) from zero and ranged from 0.38 for manganese to 0.82 for selenium, indicating that the strength of herd effects, which are presumably related to diet, vary greatly by mineral. Analysis of the distribution and standard errors of best linear unbiased predictor (BLUP) values suggested that testing 5-10 animals per herd could place herds within 10 percentile units across the population of herds with 70-95% confidence, the confidence level varying among minerals. Herd means were generally similar to BLUPs, suggesting that means could be reasonably compared to BLUPs with respect to the distributions reported here. However, caution in interpreting means relative to BLUPs should be exercised when animal numbers are small, the standard errors of the means are large, and/or the values are near the extremes of the distribution.

摘要

为了评估随机效应线性模型在群体水平上评估痕量矿物质状态的实用性,我们对 2011 年至 2017 年间提交给密歇根州立大学兽医诊断实验室的牛肝痕量矿物质检测结果进行了回顾性分析。我们的目的是检验随机效应模型在最小样本量下提高解释能力的潜力。该数据库包含分布在 121 个畜群中的 1658 个动物。矿物质采用电感耦合等离子体质谱法进行检测,包括钴、铜、铁、钼、锰、硒和锌。每种矿物质的组内相关系数均显著不为零(<0.001),范围从 0.38(锰)到 0.82(硒),表明畜群效应的强度(可能与饮食有关)因矿物质而异。对最佳线性无偏预测值(BLUP)分布和标准误差的分析表明,每个畜群检测 5-10 个动物,可以在 70-95%置信区间内将畜群置于畜群总体的 10%分位数范围内,置信度因矿物质而异。畜群平均值通常与 BLUP 相似,这表明在报告的这些分布中,平均值可以与 BLUP 进行合理比较。然而,当动物数量较少、平均值的标准误差较大且/或值接近分布的极值时,应谨慎解释平均值相对于 BLUP 的关系。

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