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调查冠状病毒(COVID-19)对家禽供应链的影响:一项混合方法研究。

Surveying the impact of the coronavirus (COVID-19) on the poultry supply chain: A mixed methods study.

作者信息

Palouj Mojtaba, Lavaei Adaryani Rasool, Alambeigi Amir, Movarej Maryam, Safi Sis Yahya

机构信息

Agricultural Planning, Economic and Rural Development Research Institute (APERDRI), Tehran, Iran.

Faculty of Agricultural Economics and Development, University of Tehran, Iran.

出版信息

Food Control. 2021 Aug;126:108084. doi: 10.1016/j.foodcont.2021.108084. Epub 2021 Mar 18.

Abstract

The coronavirus pandemic (COVID-19) has affected all supply chains through severe disruption of logistics activities, production, and markets. This study aimed to survey the impact of the coronavirus on the poultry supply chain using an exploratory sequential mixed design. We first addressed those stages of the poultry supply chain disrupted in an ongoing pandemic, and then elaborated particular disturbances associated with each stage. This study was based on data collected from Iranian poultry industry owners and experts who had sufficient experience in agricultural supply chains as well. As the qualitative phase, the content analysis was conducted to identify the impacts of the coronavirus on the poultry supply chain. The results and conclusions that emerged from the qualitative phase were refined and weighted by the Fuzzy Delphi Method (FDM) and the Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process (FAHP) respectively, in the quantitative phase. The results suggested that the pandemic has further affected the input supply as a stage in the poultry supply chain. This is probably because of the fact that the poultry industry is heavily dependent on inputs' flow. In addition, supply chain governance was seriously impaired due to the persistence of the pandemic. The coronavirus pandemic has significantly affected the stages that are most reliant on transportation. Finally, we found that a part of the disruptions that occur in the downstream of the supply chain is due to the epidemic's direct adverse effects, and another part is due to indirect consequences received from the upstream. Our findings and implications can be useful in decision-making procedures during ongoing epidemics.

摘要

冠状病毒大流行(COVID-19)通过严重扰乱物流活动、生产和市场,影响了所有供应链。本研究旨在采用探索性序列混合设计,调查冠状病毒对家禽供应链的影响。我们首先探讨了在持续大流行中受到干扰的家禽供应链阶段,然后阐述了与每个阶段相关的具体干扰因素。本研究基于从伊朗家禽业所有者和在农业供应链方面也有足够经验的专家那里收集的数据。作为定性阶段,进行了内容分析以确定冠状病毒对家禽供应链的影响。在定量阶段,分别通过模糊德尔菲法(FDM)和模糊层次分析法(FAHP)对定性阶段得出的结果和结论进行了细化和加权。结果表明,大流行进一步影响了家禽供应链中的投入供应阶段。这可能是因为家禽业严重依赖投入品的流动。此外,由于大流行的持续,供应链治理受到严重损害。冠状病毒大流行对最依赖运输的阶段产生了重大影响。最后,我们发现供应链下游发生的部分干扰是由于疫情的直接不利影响,另一部分是由于从上游收到的间接后果。我们的研究结果和启示在持续疫情期间的决策程序中可能会有所帮助。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2225/7970921/2c019fa4fdea/gr1_lrg.jpg

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