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分化一个国家的赛事:对墨尔本杯纯种赛马比赛、赌博及动物虐待态度的便利抽样调查结果

The race that segments a nation: Findings from a convenience poll of attitudes toward the Melbourne Cup Thoroughbred horse race, gambling and animal cruelty.

作者信息

Wilson Bethany J, Thompson Kirrilly R, McGreevy Paul D

机构信息

Sydney School of Veterinary Science, Faculty of Science, University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia.

University of South Australia Business School, Adelaide, SA, Australia.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2021 Mar 24;16(3):e0248945. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0248945. eCollection 2021.

Abstract

The annual Melbourne Cup Thoroughbred horse race has iconic status among many Australians but sits in the context of increasing criticism of the welfare of Thoroughbred racing horses and the ethics of gambling. Despite heated debates and protests playing out in the public domain, there is scant empirical research to document Australian attitudes to the Melbourne Cup, or horse racing more generally. Specifically, little is known about how support for or against the Melbourne Cup correlate with age, gender, income and level of education. To provide a more nuanced understanding of attitudes towards the cup beyond the rudimentary binaries of those who are 'for' or 'against' gambling and horse racing, the purpose of the study was to identify clusters of people with particular views. An opportunistic survey collected data on respondents' gender, age, place of residence, weekly income, employment status and highest level of education, and sought their level of agreement with six statements about the Melbourne Cup, gambling and animal cruelty. Ordinal logistic regression and Chi-square analysis were used to evaluate the age and gender of respondents in clusters respectively. Agreement with the statements revealed some significant associations. Male respondents were at greater odds for agreement with the statement: I regularly bet on horse races (OR = 2.39; 95% CI = 1.78-3.22) as were respondents aged 18-19 years (OR = 2.88; 95% CI = 1.13-7.35) and 20-24 years (OR = 1.90; 95% CI 1.00-3.62) compared with the median 35-40 years age bracket. Agreement with the statement: I will watch the Melbourne Cup but will not place a bet was more likely among the full-time employed (OR = 1.60; 95% CI = 1.10-2.32), for those aged 20-24 years (OR = 1.85; 95% CI = 1.16-2.95). The odds of increasing agreement with the statement: I have never been interested in the Melbourne Cup were multiplied by 0.87 (95% CI = 0.82-0.92) with each successive five-year age bracket. The most useful of the predictor variables for agreement was level of education. The odds of increasing with the statement: I have become less interested in the Melbourne Cup over recent years because of my concerns with gambling were multiplied by 1.09 (95% CI = 1.02-1.15) for each increased level of education. Agreement with the statement: I have become less interested in the Melbourne Cup because of my concerns about animal cruelty was weaker amongst male respondents (OR = 0.62; 95% CI = 0.48-0.80), and those in increasing age brackets (OR = 0.88; 95% CI = 0.83-0.93). A series of six clusters were identified that show how certain attributes of respondents characterise their responses. The authors labelled these clusters "Devotees" (n = 313; 30.4% of respondents), "Flaneurs" (n = 244; 21.8% of respondents), "Disapprovers" (n = 163; 15.9% of respondents), "Casuals" (n = 148; 14.4% of respondents), "Gamblers" (n = 126; 12.3% of respondents) and "Paradoxical-voters" (n = 54; 5.3% of respondents). The implications for support of the Melbourne Cup are explored.

摘要

一年一度的墨尔本杯纯种赛马比赛在许多澳大利亚人心中具有标志性地位,但与此同时,对纯种赛马福利和赌博伦理的批评也日益增多。尽管在公共领域展开了激烈的辩论和抗议,但很少有实证研究记录澳大利亚人对墨尔本杯或更广泛的赛马运动的态度。具体而言,对于支持或反对墨尔本杯与年龄、性别、收入和教育水平之间的关联知之甚少。为了更细致地理解人们对该赛事的态度,而不仅仅局限于那些“支持”或“反对”赌博和赛马的基本二元观点,本研究的目的是识别具有特定观点的人群类别。一项机会性调查收集了受访者的性别、年龄、居住地点、周收入、就业状况和最高教育水平等数据,并询问了他们对关于墨尔本杯、赌博和动物虐待的六项陈述的认同程度。分别使用有序逻辑回归和卡方分析来评估不同类别受访者的年龄和性别。对这些陈述的认同揭示了一些显著的关联。男性受访者更有可能认同以下陈述:我经常赌马(比值比[OR]=2.39;95%置信区间[CI]=1.78 - 3.22),18 - 19岁的受访者也是如此(OR = 2.88;95% CI = 1.13 - 7.35),20 - 24岁的受访者同样如此(OR = 1.90;95% CI = 1.00 - 3.62),而年龄中位数在35 - 40岁的人群则不然。认同以下陈述的可能性更大:我会观看墨尔本杯但不会下注,这类人群中全职就业者居多(OR = 1.60;95% CI = 1.10 - 2.32),20 - 24岁的人群也是如此(OR = 1.85;95% CI = 1.16 - 2.95)。对于以下陈述的认同程度随着年龄每增长五岁而乘以0.87(95% CI = 0.82 - 0.92):我从未对墨尔本杯感兴趣。对于认同程度影响最大的预测变量是教育水平。对于以下陈述,每提高一个教育水平,认同程度增加的几率乘以1.09(95% CI = 1.02 - 1.15):近年来由于我对赌博的担忧,我对墨尔本杯的兴趣降低了。对于以下陈述,男性受访者(OR = 0.62;95% CI = 0.48 - 0.80)以及年龄增长的人群(OR = 0.88;95% CI = 0.83 - 0.93)中认同程度较低:由于我对动物虐待的担忧,我对墨尔本杯的兴趣降低了。研究确定了六个类别,展示了受访者的某些特征如何决定他们的回答。作者将这些类别标记为“狂热支持者”(n = 313;占受访者的30.4%)、“闲逛者”(n = 244;占受访者的21.8%)、“反对者”(n = 163;占受访者的15.9%)、“随性者”(n = 148;占受访者的14.4%)、“赌徒”(n = 126;占受访者的12.3%)和“矛盾选民”(n = 54;占受访者的5.3%)。本文还探讨了这些结果对墨尔本杯支持度的影响。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d000/7990293/ee14ce179655/pone.0248945.g001.jpg

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