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考虑近期风能资源的浮式海上风电场的经济可行性:以伊比利亚海岸和比斯开湾为例。

Economic Feasibility of Floating Offshore Wind Farms Considering Near Future Wind Resources: Case Study of Iberian Coast and Bay of Biscay.

机构信息

Departamento de Enxeñaría Naval e Industrial, Escola Politécnica Superior, Universidade da Coruña, Esteiro, 15471 Ferrol, Spain.

Environmental Physics Laboratory (EphysLab), Centro de Investigacións Mariñas (CIM)-UVIGO, Universidade de Vigo, Edificio Campus da Auga, 32004 Ourense, Spain.

出版信息

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2021 Mar 4;18(5):2553. doi: 10.3390/ijerph18052553.

DOI:10.3390/ijerph18052553
PMID:33806488
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC7967524/
Abstract

Wind energy resources are subject to changes in climate, so the use of wind energy density projections in the near future is essential to determine the viability and profitability of wind farms at particular locations. Thus, a step forward in determining the economic assessment of floating offshore wind farms was taken by considering current and near-future wind energy resources in assessing the main parameters that determine the economic viability (net present value, internal rate of return, and levelized cost of energy) of wind farms. This study was carried out along the Atlantic coast from Brest to Cape St. Vincent. Results show that the future reduction in wind energy density (2%-6%) mainly affects the net present value () of the farm and has little influence on the levelized cost of energy (). This study provides a good estimate of the economic viability of OWFs (Offshore Wind Farms) by taking into account how wind resources can vary due to climate change over the lifetime of the farm.

摘要

风能资源受气候变化影响,因此在近期内使用风能密度预测对于确定特定地点风电场的可行性和盈利能力至关重要。因此,通过考虑当前和近期的风能资源来评估决定风电场经济可行性的主要参数(净现值、内部收益率和能源平准化成本),在确定漂浮式海上风电场的经济评估方面向前迈进了一步。本研究沿着从布雷斯特到圣文森特角的大西洋海岸进行。结果表明,未来风能密度的减少(2%-6%)主要影响农场的净现值(NPV),对能源平准化成本(LCOE)的影响较小。本研究通过考虑风电场整个生命周期内由于气候变化导致的风能资源变化,对海上风电场(OWF)的经济可行性进行了很好的估计。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/eb87/7967524/d93644c80e0d/ijerph-18-02553-g007.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/eb87/7967524/dcb415e6e066/ijerph-18-02553-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/eb87/7967524/c9013680f3bb/ijerph-18-02553-g005.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/eb87/7967524/d93644c80e0d/ijerph-18-02553-g007.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/eb87/7967524/dcb415e6e066/ijerph-18-02553-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/eb87/7967524/c9013680f3bb/ijerph-18-02553-g005.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/eb87/7967524/d93644c80e0d/ijerph-18-02553-g007.jpg

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本文引用的文献

1
A Software for Calculating the Economic Aspects of Floating Offshore Renewable Energies.一种计算浮动式海上可再生能源经济方面的软件。
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2019 Dec 27;17(1):218. doi: 10.3390/ijerph17010218.
2
Economic Aspects of a Concrete Floating Offshore Wind Platform in the Atlantic Arc of Europe.欧洲大西洋弧形地区混凝土浮式海上风力发电平台的经济方面。
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2019 Oct 25;16(21):4122. doi: 10.3390/ijerph16214122.
3
An overview of offshore wind energy resources in Europe under present and future climate.
欧洲当前和未来气候下的海上风能资源概述。
Ann N Y Acad Sci. 2019 Jan;1436(1):70-97. doi: 10.1111/nyas.13924. Epub 2018 Jul 15.
4
Why coastal upwelling is expected to increase along the western Iberian Peninsula over the next century?为什么预计在下个世纪沿伊比利亚半岛西部的沿海上升流会增加?
Sci Total Environ. 2017 Aug 15;592:243-251. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.03.046. Epub 2017 Mar 17.
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Selecting global climate models for regional climate change studies.为区域气候变化研究选择全球气候模型。
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2009 May 26;106(21):8441-6. doi: 10.1073/pnas.0900094106. Epub 2009 May 13.