Thomas Armin W, Molter Felix, Krajbich Ian
Technische Universität Berlin, Berlin, Germany.
Freie Universität Berlin, Berlin, Germany.
Elife. 2021 Apr 6;10:e57012. doi: 10.7554/eLife.57012.
How do we choose when confronted with many alternatives? There is surprisingly little decision modelling work with large choice sets, despite their prevalence in everyday life. Even further, there is an apparent disconnect between research in small choice sets, supporting a process of gaze-driven evidence accumulation, and research in larger choice sets, arguing for models of optimal choice, satisficing, and hybrids of the two. Here, we bridge this divide by developing and comparing different versions of these models in a many-alternative value-based choice experiment with 9, 16, 25, or 36 alternatives. We find that human choices are best explained by models incorporating an active effect of gaze on subjective value. A gaze-driven, probabilistic version of satisficing generally provides slightly better fits to choices and response times, while the gaze-driven evidence accumulation and comparison model provides the best overall account of the data when also considering the empirical relation between gaze allocation and choice.
当面对众多选择时,我们该如何抉择?尽管在日常生活中大量选择集十分常见,但令人惊讶的是,针对大型选择集的决策建模工作却很少。更进一步说,在支持注视驱动的证据积累过程的小型选择集研究与主张最优选择模型、满意模型以及两者混合模型的大型选择集研究之间,存在明显脱节。在此,我们通过在一个具有9、16、25或36个选项的基于价值的多选项选择实验中开发并比较这些模型的不同版本,弥合了这一差距。我们发现,纳入注视对主观价值的积极影响的模型能最好地解释人类的选择。一个注视驱动的概率性满意模型通常对选择和反应时间的拟合效果略好,而当同时考虑注视分配与选择之间的实证关系时,注视驱动的证据积累与比较模型能对数据提供最佳的整体解释。