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数量和时间对跨期选择有独立的影响。

Amount and time exert independent influences on intertemporal choice.

机构信息

Department of Neurobiology, Duke University, Durham, NC, USA.

Center for Cognitive Neuroscience, Duke University, Durham, NC, USA.

出版信息

Nat Hum Behav. 2019 Apr;3(4):383-392. doi: 10.1038/s41562-019-0537-2. Epub 2019 Feb 25.

Abstract

Intertemporal choices involve trade-offs between the value of rewards and the delay before those rewards are experienced. Canonical intertemporal choice models such as hyperbolic discounting assume that reward amount and time until delivery are integrated within each option prior to comparison. An alternative view posits that intertemporal choice reflects attribute-wise processes in which amount and time attributes are compared separately. Here, we use multi-attribute drift diffusion modelling (DDM) to show that attribute-wise comparison represents the choice process better than option-wise comparison for intertemporal choice in a young adult population. We find that, while accumulation rates for amount and time information are uncorrelated, the difference between those rates predicts individual differences in patience. Moreover, patient individuals incorporate amount earlier than time into the decision process. Using eye tracking, we link these modelling results to attention, showing that patience results from a rapid, attribute-wise process that prioritizes amount over time information. Thus, we find converging evidence that distinct evaluation processes for amount and time determine intertemporal financial choices. Because intertemporal decisions in the lab have been linked to failures of patience ranging from insufficient saving to addiction, understanding individual differences in the choice process is important for developing more effective interventions.

摘要

跨期选择涉及到奖励价值和获得这些奖励之前的延迟之间的权衡。双曲线折扣等典型的跨期选择模型假设,在进行比较之前,每个选项内都会整合奖励金额和交付前的时间。另一种观点认为,跨期选择反映了属性层面的过程,其中金额和时间属性是分别进行比较的。在这里,我们使用多属性漂移扩散建模 (DDM) 来表明,对于年轻成年人的跨期选择,属性层面的比较比选项层面的比较更能代表选择过程。我们发现,虽然金额和时间信息的积累率不相关,但这些率之间的差异预测了耐心的个体差异。此外,耐心的个体将金额比时间更早地纳入决策过程。通过眼动追踪,我们将这些建模结果与注意力联系起来,表明耐心是一种快速的、属性层面的过程,优先考虑金额而不是时间信息。因此,我们发现了一致的证据,即金额和时间的不同评估过程决定了跨期金融选择。由于实验室中的跨期决策与从储蓄不足到成瘾等各种耐心失败有关,因此了解选择过程中的个体差异对于制定更有效的干预措施非常重要。

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