Brodsky H, Hakkert A S
Department of Geography, University of Maryland, College Park 20742.
Accid Anal Prev. 1988 Jun;20(3):161-76. doi: 10.1016/0001-4575(88)90001-2.
A number of methods have been proposed for measuring the added risk of a road accident during rainy weather. These methods are reviewed here, and two of them are applied, with adjustments, to data from Israel and the United States. Their accuracy, however, is limited because surrogates have to be used for traffic exposure to rain. Nevertheless, results to indicate that the added risk of an injury accident in rainy conditions can be substantial: two to three times greater than in dry weather. And when a rain follows a dry spell the hazard could be even greater.
已经提出了许多方法来测量雨天期间道路事故的附加风险。在此对这些方法进行综述，并对其中两种方法进行调整后应用于来自以色列和美国的数据。然而，它们的准确性有限，因为必须使用替代指标来衡量交通受雨影响的情况。尽管如此，结果表明在雨天条件下伤害事故的附加风险可能相当大：比干燥天气下高出两到三倍。而且当干旱期过后下雨时，危险可能更大。
