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尼日利亚奥约州道路交通事故的时空分析

Spatio-temporal analysis of road traffic accidents in Oyo State, Nigeria.

作者信息

Jegede F J

机构信息

Dept. of Geography and Regional Planning, Ogun State University, Nigeria.

出版信息

Accid Anal Prev. 1988 Jun;20(3):227-43. doi: 10.1016/0001-4575(88)90007-3.

Abstract

Studies on road traffic accidents in developing nations have been very scanty. In Nigeria in particular not much is known about accident phenomena. This paper is an account of a scientific investigation into the spatial and temporal characteristics of road traffic accidents in Oyo State, Nigeria. The study is based, principally, on the Nigerian Police Official documented road traffic accident statistics from January 1980 to December 1984. The study examined general features of road traffic accident occurrence in the state and undertook a critical analysis of both temporal and spatial dimensions of the problem. The study identified six traffic zones that could be designated as accident Black Spots in the state, to which priority attention should be given in any road safety programme. Moreover, the study attempted to explain some of the complex factors that might account for the observed spatial and temporal variation in road accidents frequency and fatality. Significantly, the study observed a consistently high number of road accidents during the months of March, September, and December, while fluctuatingly high and low accident figures are recorded for other months of the year. Some possible reasons for this temporal trend in accident occurrence is discussed.

摘要

对发展中国家道路交通事故的研究非常匮乏。尤其是在尼日利亚,人们对事故现象了解甚少。本文记述了对尼日利亚奥约州道路交通事故的时空特征所进行的一项科学调查。该研究主要基于尼日利亚警方记录的1980年1月至1984年12月的道路交通事故统计数据。研究考察了该州道路交通事故发生的总体特征,并对该问题的时间和空间维度进行了批判性分析。研究确定了该州六个可被指定为事故黑点的交通区域,在任何道路安全计划中都应优先关注这些区域。此外,该研究试图解释一些可能导致观察到的道路事故频率和死亡率的时空变化的复杂因素。值得注意的是,研究发现3月、9月和12月期间道路事故数量一直居高不下,而一年中其他月份的事故数字则有高有低。文中讨论了事故发生这种时间趋势的一些可能原因。

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