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血清肌酐作为心脏手术后再次入住重症监护病房患者死亡率的预测指标:一项中国的回顾性队列研究

Serum creatinine as a predictor of mortality in patients readmitted to the intensive care unit after cardiac surgery: a retrospective cohort study in China.

作者信息

Zhong Jun, Gao Jian, Luo Jing-Chao, Zheng Ji-Li, Tu Guo-Wei, Xue Yan

机构信息

Department of Nursing, Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.

Department of Biostatistics, Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.

出版信息

J Thorac Dis. 2021 Mar;13(3):1728-1736. doi: 10.21037/jtd-20-3205.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Patients readmitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) after cardiac surgery have a high mortality rate. The relationship between renal function and in-hospital mortality in readmitted patients has not been well demonstrated.

METHODS

We retrospectively evaluated cardiac surgery patients who were readmitted to the ICU at least once. Data on serum creatinine levels before surgery and on the day of ICU readmission were collected. The estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was calculated according to the creatinine-based Chronic Kidney Disease-Epidemiology Collaboration equation. We used logistic regression models and restricted cubic spline curves with four knots (5%, 35%, 65%, 95%) to investigate the relationship between renal function indicators and mortality.

RESULTS

Of the 184 patients evaluated, 30 patients died during hospitalization, yielding a mortality rate of 16.30%. Cardiac dysfunction (n=84, 45.65%) and respiration disorder (n=51, 27.72%) were the most common reasons for ICU readmission. Creatinine [odds ratio (OR): 1.14, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.07-1.25] and eGFR (OR: 0.95, 95% CI: 0.93-0.98) were independently associated with in-hospital mortality after adjusting for various confounders. Both creatinine level and eGFR had a linear association with in-hospital mortality (P for non-linearity ˃0.05).

CONCLUSION

Renal function is significantly associated with the in-hospital mortality of patients readmitted to the ICU after cardiac surgery, as evidenced by the independent correlation of both creatinine and eGFR with in-hospital mortality.

摘要

背景

心脏手术后再次入住重症监护病房(ICU)的患者死亡率很高。肾功能与再次入院患者的院内死亡率之间的关系尚未得到充分证实。

方法

我们回顾性评估了至少一次再次入住ICU的心脏手术患者。收集了手术前和ICU再次入院当天的血清肌酐水平数据。根据基于肌酐的慢性肾脏病流行病学协作方程计算估算肾小球滤过率(eGFR)。我们使用逻辑回归模型和带有四个节点(5%、35%、65%、95%)的受限立方样条曲线来研究肾功能指标与死亡率之间的关系。

结果

在评估的184例患者中,30例患者在住院期间死亡,死亡率为16.30%。心脏功能障碍(n = 84,45.65%)和呼吸障碍(n = 51,27.72%)是再次入住ICU最常见的原因。在调整各种混杂因素后,肌酐[比值比(OR):1.14,95%置信区间(CI):1.07 - 1.25]和eGFR(OR:0.95,95% CI:0.93 - 0.98)与院内死亡率独立相关。肌酐水平和eGFR与院内死亡率均呈线性关系(非线性P>0.05)。

结论

肾功能与心脏手术后再次入住ICU患者的院内死亡率显著相关,肌酐和eGFR与院内死亡率的独立相关性证明了这一点。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/22ed/8024843/b93525133f2c/jtd-13-03-1728-f1.jpg

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