Program in Applied and Computational Mathematics, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544;
Operations Research Center, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02139;
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2021 Apr 20;118(16). doi: 10.1073/pnas.2015188118.
Many social and biological systems are characterized by enduring hierarchies, including those organized around prestige in academia, dominance in animal groups, and desirability in online dating. Despite their ubiquity, the general mechanisms that explain the creation and endurance of such hierarchies are not well understood. We introduce a generative model for the dynamics of hierarchies using time-varying networks, in which new links are formed based on the preferences of nodes in the current network and old links are forgotten over time. The model produces a range of hierarchical structures, ranging from egalitarianism to bistable hierarchies, and we derive critical points that separate these regimes in the limit of long system memory. Importantly, our model supports statistical inference, allowing for a principled comparison of generative mechanisms using data. We apply the model to study hierarchical structures in empirical data on hiring patterns among mathematicians, dominance relations among parakeets, and friendships among members of a fraternity, observing several persistent patterns as well as interpretable differences in the generative mechanisms favored by each. Our work contributes to the growing literature on statistically grounded models of time-varying networks.
许多社会和生物系统都具有持久的层级结构,包括学术界的声望组织、动物群体的支配地位和在线约会的吸引力。尽管它们无处不在,但解释这些层级结构的形成和持久的一般机制还不是很清楚。我们使用时变网络为层级结构的动态引入了一个生成模型,其中新的链接是根据当前网络中节点的偏好形成的,而旧的链接随着时间的推移而被遗忘。该模型产生了一系列层级结构,从平等主义到双稳态层级结构,我们在系统记忆时间很长的极限下得出了分离这些状态的临界点。重要的是,我们的模型支持统计推断,允许使用数据对生成机制进行原则性比较。我们将该模型应用于研究数学家招聘模式、长尾鹦鹉支配关系和兄弟会成员友谊等实证数据中的层级结构,观察到了几个持久的模式,以及每个模式所支持的生成机制的可解释差异。我们的工作为基于统计的时变网络模型的不断增长的文献做出了贡献。