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新冠疫情对澳大利亚原住民健康评估的影响。

The Impact of COVID-19 on First Nations People Health Assessments in Australia.

机构信息

The University of Melbourne, Parkville, Victoria, Australia.

Alfred Health, Prahran, Victoria, Australia.

出版信息

Asia Pac J Public Health. 2021 Jul;33(5):595-597. doi: 10.1177/10105395211011012. Epub 2021 Apr 19.

Abstract

The COVID-19 (coronavirus disease 2019) pandemic has the potential to worsen existing health inequalities faced by Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples in Australia. We aimed to assess the impact of the pandemic on First Nations people health assessments using an interrupted time series model utilizing data extracted from the Australian Medicare Benefits Schedule database. Additive triple exponential smoothing was used to model health assessments undertaken between January 2017 and December 2019. The model was used to predict health assessments between January 2020 and June 2020 with 95% confidence ( < .05). There was no significant difference between observed and predicted First Nations people health assessments in January, February, and June 2020. However, we found a statistically significant decrease in health assessments in March (16.5%), April (23.1%), and May (17.2%) 2020. The proportion of total health assessments delivered via telehealth was 0.5%, 23.6%, 17.6%, and 10.0% for March, April, May, and June 2020, respectively. The decrease in total First Nations people health assessments compounds the risk of poorer health outcomes in this population already vulnerable due to a high burden of chronic disease and considerable social, economic, and health inequalities. Strategies to improve the delivery of telehealth for First Nations people must be considered.

摘要

新型冠状病毒肺炎(COVID-19)大流行有可能加剧澳大利亚原住民和托雷斯海峡岛民已经面临的健康不平等问题。我们旨在使用从澳大利亚医疗保险福利计划数据库中提取的数据,利用中断时间序列模型评估大流行对第一民族人民健康评估的影响。使用加性三重指数平滑法对 2017 年 1 月至 2019 年 12 月期间进行的健康评估进行建模。该模型用于预测 2020 年 1 月至 2020 年 6 月的健康评估,置信区间为 95%(<.05)。在 2020 年 1 月、2 月和 6 月,观察到的和预测的第一民族人民健康评估之间没有显著差异。然而,我们发现 2020 年 3 月(16.5%)、4 月(23.1%)和 5 月(17.2%)的健康评估显著下降。2020 年 3 月、4 月、5 月和 6 月通过远程医疗提供的总健康评估比例分别为 0.5%、23.6%、17.6%和 10.0%。第一民族人民总健康评估的减少加剧了这一人群因慢性病负担沉重以及社会、经济和健康不平等程度相当高而已经面临的健康结果恶化的风险。必须考虑改善第一民族人民远程医疗服务的提供的策略。

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