Department of Demography, University of California, Berkeley, USA.
a2i Programme, Bangladesh.
Epidemics. 2021 Jun;35:100462. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2021.100462. Epub 2021 Apr 19.
Limitations in laboratory diagnostic capacity and reporting delays have hampered efforts to mitigate and control the ongoing coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic globally. To augment traditional lab and hospital-based surveillance, Bangladesh established a participatory surveillance system for the public to self-report symptoms consistent with COVID-19 through multiple channels. Here, we report on the use of this system, which received over 3 million responses within two months, for tracking the COVID-19 outbreak in Bangladesh. Although we observe considerable noise in the data and initial volatility in the use of the different reporting mechanisms, the self-reported syndromic data exhibits a strong association with lab-confirmed cases at a local scale. Moreover, the syndromic data also suggests an earlier spread of the outbreak across Bangladesh than is evident from the confirmed case counts, consistent with predicted spread of the outbreak based on population mobility data. Our results highlight the usefulness of participatory syndromic surveillance for mapping disease burden generally, and particularly during the initial phases of an emerging outbreak.
实验室诊断能力的限制和报告延迟阻碍了全球减轻和控制 2019 年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)大流行的努力。为了加强传统的实验室和医院为基础的监测,孟加拉国建立了一个参与性监测系统,公众可以通过多种渠道自我报告与 COVID-19 一致的症状。在这里,我们报告了该系统的使用情况,该系统在两个月内收到了超过 300 万次的反馈,用于跟踪孟加拉国的 COVID-19 疫情。尽管我们观察到数据中有相当大的噪音,并且不同报告机制的使用最初不稳定,但自我报告的综合征数据与当地规模的实验室确诊病例有很强的关联。此外,综合征数据还表明,疫情在孟加拉国的传播比确诊病例数所显示的更早,这与基于人口流动数据预测的疫情传播情况一致。我们的结果强调了参与性综合征监测在一般情况下,特别是在新出现的疫情的初始阶段,用于绘制疾病负担图的有用性。