Environmental Health Tracking Section, Division of Environmental Health Practice and Science, National Center for Environmental Health (NCEH), Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), Atlanta, GA.
Gangarosa Department of Environmental Health, Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University, Atlanta, GA.
Ann Epidemiol. 2021 Jul;59:64-71. doi: 10.1016/j.annepidem.2021.04.004. Epub 2021 Apr 22.
Skin cancer is the most common, yet oftentimes preventable, cancer type in the United States. Exposure to ultraviolet radiation from sunlight is the most prominent environmental risk factor for skin cancer. Besides environmental exposure, demographic characteristics such as race, age, and socioeconomic status may make some groups more vulnerable. An exploratory spatial clustering method is described for identifying clusters of vulnerability to skin cancer incidence and mortality based on composite indices, which combine data from environmental and demographic risk factors.
Based on county-level ultraviolet data and demographic risk factors, two vulnerability indices for skin cancer were generated using an additive percentile rank approach. With these indices, univariate local Moran's I spatial autocorrelation identified significant clusters, or hotspots, of neighboring counties with high overall vulnerability indices. Clusters were identified separately for skin cancer incidence and mortality.
Counties with high vulnerabilities were spatially distributed across the United States in a pattern that generally increased to the South and West. Clusters of counties with high skin cancer incidence vulnerability were mostly observed in Utah and Colorado, even with highly conservative levels of significance. Meanwhile, clusters for skin cancer mortality vulnerability were observed in southern Alabama and west Florida as well as across north Alabama, north Georgia and up through the Tennessee-North Carolina area.
Future skin cancer research and screening initiatives may use these innovative composite vulnerability indices and identified clusters to better target resources based on anticipated risk from underlying demographic and environmental factors.
皮肤癌是美国最常见但往往可以预防的癌症类型。暴露于阳光中的紫外线辐射是皮肤癌的最突出环境风险因素。除了环境暴露外,种族、年龄和社会经济地位等人口统计学特征可能使某些群体更容易受到影响。本文描述了一种探索性空间聚类方法,用于根据综合指数识别皮肤癌发病率和死亡率脆弱性的聚类,这些综合指数结合了环境和人口统计学风险因素的数据。
基于县级紫外线数据和人口统计学风险因素,使用加性百分位排名方法生成了两种皮肤癌脆弱性指数。利用这些指数,单变量局部 Moran's I 空间自相关识别了具有高总体脆弱性指数的相邻县的显著聚类或热点。分别针对皮肤癌发病率和死亡率识别了聚类。
高脆弱性的县在美国各地呈空间分布,总体上向南和向西增加。皮肤癌发病率脆弱性高的县集群主要分布在犹他州和科罗拉多州,即使在非常保守的显著性水平下也是如此。同时,皮肤癌死亡率脆弱性的集群出现在阿拉巴马州南部和佛罗里达州西部,以及阿拉巴马州北部、乔治亚州北部和田纳西州-北卡罗来纳州地区。
未来的皮肤癌研究和筛查计划可以使用这些创新的综合脆弱性指数和确定的聚类,根据潜在的人口统计学和环境因素风险更好地定位资源。