Division of Psychiatry, University College London, London, UK.
South London and Maudsley NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK.
Epidemiol Psychiatr Sci. 2021 Apr 27;30:e32. doi: 10.1017/S2045796021000214.
AIMS: Suicide accounts for 2.2% of all years of life lost worldwide. We aimed to establish whether infectious epidemics are associated with any changes in the incidence of suicide or the period prevalence of self-harm, or thoughts of suicide or self-harm, with a secondary objective of establishing the frequency of these outcomes. METHODS: In this systematic review and meta-analysis, MEDLINE, Embase, PsycINFO and AMED were searched from inception to 9 September 2020. Studies of infectious epidemics reporting outcomes of (a) death by suicide, (b) self-harm or (c) thoughts of suicide or self-harm were identified. A random-effects model meta-analysis for the period prevalence of thoughts of suicide or self-harm was conducted. RESULTS: In total, 1354 studies were screened with 57 meeting eligibility criteria, of which 7 described death by suicide, 9 by self-harm, and 45 thoughts of suicide or self-harm. The observation period ranged from 1910 to 2020 and included epidemics of Spanish Flu, severe acute respiratory syndrome, human monkeypox, Ebola virus disease and coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Regarding death by suicide, data with a clear longitudinal comparison group were available for only two epidemics: SARS in Hong Kong, finding an increase in suicides among the elderly, and COVID-19 in Japan, finding no change in suicides among children and adolescents. In terms of self-harm, five studies examined emergency department attendances in epidemic and non-epidemic periods, of which four found no difference and one showed a reduction during the epidemic. In studies of thoughts of suicide or self-harm, one large survey showed a substantial increase in period prevalence compared to non-epidemic periods, but smaller studies showed no difference. As a secondary objective, a meta-analysis of thoughts of suicide and self-harm found that the pooled prevalence was 8.0% overall (95% confidence interval (CI) 5.2-12.0%; 14 820 of 99 238 cases in 24 studies) over a time period of between seven days and six months. The quality assessment found 42 studies were of high quality, nine of moderate quality and six of high quality. CONCLUSIONS: There is little robust evidence on the association of infectious epidemics with suicide, self-harm and thoughts of suicide or self-harm. There was an increase in suicides among the elderly in Hong Kong during SARS and no change in suicides among young people in Japan during COVID-19, but it is unclear how far these findings may be generalised. The development of up-to-date self-harm and suicide statistics to monitor the effect of the current pandemic is an urgent priority.
目的:自杀占全球生命损失年数的 2.2%。我们旨在确定传染病大流行是否与自杀的发病率变化或自残、自杀意念的时期流行率有关,次要目的是确定这些结果的频率。
方法:在这项系统评价和荟萃分析中,从建库至 2020 年 9 月 9 日,检索了 MEDLINE、Embase、PsycINFO 和 AMED。确定了报告传染病大流行(a)自杀死亡、(b)自残或(c)自杀意念或自残意念结果的研究。对自杀意念或自残意念的时期流行率进行了随机效应模型荟萃分析。
结果:共筛选了 1354 项研究,其中 57 项符合入选标准,其中 7 项描述了自杀死亡,9 项描述了自残,45 项描述了自杀意念或自残意念。观察期从 1910 年至 2020 年,包括西班牙流感、严重急性呼吸综合征、人类猴痘、埃博拉病毒病和 2019 年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)大流行。关于自杀,仅有两项大流行的数据有明确的纵向对照组:香港的 SARS 发现老年人自杀人数增加,日本的 COVID-19 发现儿童和青少年自杀人数没有变化。至于自残,五项研究检查了大流行和非大流行期间的急诊就诊情况,其中四项研究没有发现差异,一项研究显示大流行期间就诊人数减少。在自杀意念或自残意念的研究中,一项大型调查显示,与非大流行期间相比,时期流行率有显著增加,但较小的研究没有发现差异。作为次要目标,对自杀意念和自残意念的荟萃分析发现,24 项研究中共有 99238 例病例中,总体流行率为 8.0%(95%置信区间 5.2%-12.0%;7 天至 6 个月期间)。质量评估发现,42 项研究质量较高,9 项研究质量中等,6 项研究质量较高。
结论:关于传染病大流行与自杀、自残和自杀意念或自残意念的关联,几乎没有可靠的证据。在 SARS 期间,香港老年人的自杀人数增加,而在 COVID-19 期间,日本年轻人的自杀人数没有变化,但尚不清楚这些发现的普遍性有多大。制定最新的自残和自杀统计数据以监测当前大流行的影响是当务之急。
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