Physick-Sheard Peter, Avison Amanda, Sears William
Department of Population Medicine, University of Guelph, Guelph, ON N1G 2W1, Canada.
DVM Program, Ontario Veterinary College, University of Guelph, Guelph, ON N1G 2W1, Canada.
Animals (Basel). 2021 Apr 5;11(4):1028. doi: 10.3390/ani11041028.
Factors associated with mortality in standardbred racehorses were assessed through a retrospective annualized cohort study of all-cause mortality from 2003-2015 ( = 978) (identified in the Ontario Racehorse Death Registry). Race and qualifying data for official work-events were also gathered (1,778,330 work-events, 125,200 horse years). Multivariable logistic regression analysis revealed sex, age, and indices of workload and intensity and their interactions to be strongly associated with mortality. Track class, race versus qualifying performance, and work-event outcome (finish position, scratched, or failed to finish) also influenced mortality odds, which increased as performance slowed. Intense competition at higher performance levels and qualifying races at lower levels carried particularly high odds. Though occurring frequently, musculoskeletal injury was less frequent than all other presenting problems combined. Industry structure contributes to mortality through interaction between horse characteristics and the competition environment. This substrate may be amenable to management to minimize liability, but incident-specific triggers may represent chance factors and be relatively difficult to identify or control. Differentiating between substrate and trigger when studying specific clinical problems may provide greater clarity and yield in identifying underlying causes. Mortality may reflect a continuum of circumstances, cumulative impacts of which might be identified before a fatal event occurs.
通过对2003年至2015年所有原因导致的死亡率进行回顾性年度队列研究(n = 978,数据来自安大略赛马死亡登记处),评估了标准赛马死亡率的相关因素。还收集了官方赛事的种族和资格数据(1,778,330场赛事,125,200马年)。多变量逻辑回归分析显示,性别、年龄、工作量和强度指标及其相互作用与死亡率密切相关。赛道级别、比赛与资格赛表现以及赛事结果(完赛名次、退赛或未完赛)也影响死亡几率,随着表现变慢,死亡几率增加。在较高表现水平的激烈竞争和较低水平的资格赛中,死亡几率尤其高。虽然肌肉骨骼损伤经常发生,但其发生率低于所有其他出现的问题的总和。行业结构通过马匹特征与竞争环境之间的相互作用导致死亡率上升。这种基础情况可能适合进行管理以尽量减少责任,但特定事件的触发因素可能是偶然因素,相对难以识别或控制。在研究特定临床问题时区分基础情况和触发因素,可能会在确定根本原因方面提供更大的清晰度和收获。死亡率可能反映了一系列连续的情况,在致命事件发生之前可能可以识别其累积影响。