Determination of the critical O2 delivery from experimental data: sensitivity to error.

Normally, metabolic need determines tissue O2 consumption (VO2). In states of reduced supply, VO2 declines sharply below a critical level of O2 delivery (QO2 = blood flow X arterial O2 content). Although several investigators have measured a critical O2 delivery in whole animals or in isolated tissues, there is no general agreement over how to determine the critical point from a collection of real data. In this study, we compare three algorithms for finding the critical O2 delivery from a set of experimental data. We also present a technique for estimating the effect of experimental error on the precision of these algorithms. Using 16 data sets collected in normal dogs, we compare single-line, dual-line, and polynomial regression algorithms for identifying the critical O2 delivery. The dual-line and polynomial regression techniques fit the data better (mean residual square deviation 0.024 and 0.031, respectively) than the single-regression line approach (0.110). To investigate the influence of experimental error on the derived critical QO2, we used a Monte Carlo technique, repeatedly perturbing the experimental data to simulate experimental error. We then calculated the variance of the critical QO2 frequency distribution obtained when the three algorithms were applied to the perturbed data. By this analysis, the dual-line regression technique was less sensitive to experimental error than the polynomial technique.