Sino-French Institute for Earth System Science, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing, China.
Key Laboratory of Alpine Ecology and Biodiversity, Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China.
Glob Chang Biol. 2021 Aug;27(16):3798-3809. doi: 10.1111/gcb.15669. Epub 2021 May 25.
The 2015-2016 El Niño was one of the strongest on record, but its influence on the carbon balance is less clear. Using Northern Hemisphere atmospheric CO observations, we found both detrended atmospheric CO growth rate (CGR) and CO seasonal-cycle amplitude (SCA) of 2015-2016 were much higher than that of other El Niño events. The simultaneous high CGR and SCA were unusual, because our analysis of long-term CO observations at Mauna Loa revealed a significantly negative correlation between CGR and SCA. Atmospheric inversions and terrestrial ecosystem models indicate strong northern land carbon uptake during spring but substantially reduced carbon uptake (or high emissions) during early autumn, which amplified SCA but also resulted in a small anomaly in annual carbon uptake of northern ecosystems in 2015-2016. This negative ecosystem carbon uptake anomaly in early autumn was primarily due to soil water deficits and more litter decomposition caused by enhanced spring productivity. Our study demonstrates a decoupling between seasonality and annual carbon cycle balance in northern ecosystems over 2015-2016, which is unprecedented in the past five decades of El Niño events.
2015-2016 年厄尔尼诺事件是有记录以来最强的一次,但它对碳平衡的影响不太明确。利用北半球大气 CO 观测数据,我们发现 2015-2016 年的去趋势大气 CO 增长率(CGR)和 CO 季节循环幅度(SCA)均明显高于其他厄尔尼诺事件。同时出现高 CGR 和 SCA 是不寻常的,因为我们对莫纳罗亚长期 CO 观测的分析表明,CGR 和 SCA 之间存在显著的负相关。大气反演和陆地生态系统模型表明,2015-2016 年春季北方陆地碳吸收强烈,但初秋碳吸收(或高排放)大幅减少,这放大了 SCA,但也导致北方生态系统的年碳吸收出现小异常。2015-2016 年秋季早期这种负的生态系统碳吸收异常主要是由于春季生产力增强导致土壤水分亏缺和更多的凋落物分解。我们的研究表明,2015-2016 年北方生态系统的季节性和年碳循环平衡之间存在脱钩,这在过去五十年的厄尔尼诺事件中是前所未有的。