Department of Population Health and Health Services, Royal College of Surgeons in Ireland Division of Population Health Sciences, Dublin, Ireland
School of Veterinary Medicine, UCD School of Agriculture Food Science and Veterinary Medicine, Dublin, Ireland.
BMJ Open. 2021 May 4;11(5):e042354. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2020-042354.
The aim of this study was to determine the relative infectiousness of asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infected persons compared with symptomatic individuals based on a scoping review of available literature.
Rapid scoping review of peer-reviewed literature from 1 January to 5 December 2020 using the LitCovid database and the Cochrane library.
International studies on the infectiousness of individuals infected with SARS-CoV-2.
Studies were selected for inclusion if they defined asymptomatics as a separate cohort distinct from presymptomatics and if they provided a quantitative measure of the infectiousness of asymptomatics relative to symptomatics.
PCR result (PCR studies), the rate of infection (mathematical modelling studies) and secondary attack rate (contact tracing studies) - in each case from asymptomatic in comparison with symptomatic individuals.
There are only a limited number of published studies that report estimates of relative infectiousness of asymptomatic compared with symptomatic individuals. 12 studies were included after the screening process. Significant differences exist in the definition of infectiousness. PCR studies in general show no difference in shedding levels between symptomatic and asymptomatic individuals; however, the number of study subjects is generally limited. Two modelling studies estimate relative infectiousness to be 0.43 and 0.57, but both of these were more reflective of the infectiousness of undocumented rather than asymptomatic cases. The results from contact tracing studies include estimates of relative infectiousness of 0, but with insufficient evidence to conclude that it is significantly different from 1.
There is considerable heterogeneity in estimates of relative infectiousness highlighting the need for further investigation of this important parameter. It is not possible to provide any conclusive estimate of relative infectiousness, as the estimates from the reviewed studies varied between 0 and 1.
本研究旨在通过对现有文献的范围综述,确定无症状 SARS-CoV-2 感染者与有症状个体相比的相对传染性。
对 2020 年 1 月 1 日至 12 月 5 日期间使用 LitCovid 数据库和 Cochrane 图书馆的同行评审文献进行快速范围综述。
关于个体感染 SARS-CoV-2 的传染性的国际研究。
如果研究将无症状患者定义为与前驱症状不同的单独队列,并且提供了无症状患者相对于有症状患者的传染性的定量衡量标准,则将其纳入研究。
PCR 结果(PCR 研究)、感染率(数学建模研究)和二代发病率(接触者追踪研究)——在每种情况下,均比较无症状与有症状个体。
仅有少数已发表的研究报告了无症状与有症状个体之间相对传染性的估计值。经过筛选过程,共纳入 12 项研究。传染性的定义存在显著差异。一般来说,PCR 研究表明无症状和有症状个体的病毒脱落水平没有差异;然而,研究对象的数量通常有限。两项建模研究估计相对传染性为 0.43 和 0.57,但这两者更反映了未记录病例而非无症状病例的传染性。接触者追踪研究的结果包括相对传染性为 0 的估计值,但没有足够的证据得出结论,表明其与 1 显著不同。
相对传染性的估计值存在相当大的异质性,这突出表明需要进一步研究这一重要参数。由于综述研究中的估计值在 0 到 1 之间变化,因此无法提供任何关于相对传染性的结论性估计值。