Smith H L, Cutright P
Population Studies Center, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia 19104-6298.
Demography. 1988 May;25(2):235-47.
What has been the recent trend in illegitimacy in the United States? The answer depends on what is being measured. If the focus is on illegitimacy rates, then the trend is mixed. Illegitimacy ratios, however, have been skyrocketing. We show that this is primarily the result of declining nuptiality (and rising marital dissolution) and secondarily the result of decreases in marital fertility. We argue that the illegitimacy ratio is the better index of the social consequences of out-of-wedlock childbearing and that the high ratios of recent decades are unlikely to abate in the foreseeable future.
美国非婚生育的近期趋势如何？答案取决于所衡量的内容。如果关注的是非婚生育率，那么趋势喜忧参半。然而，非婚生育比例一直在飙升。我们表明，这主要是结婚率下降（以及婚姻解体增加）的结果，其次是婚内生育率下降的结果。我们认为，非婚生育比例是衡量非婚生育社会后果的更好指标，而且近几十年来的高比例在可预见的未来不太可能下降。
