Selection on individual phenotype and best linear unbiased predictor of breeding value in a closed swine herd.

Computer simulation of a closed 100-sow and 4-boar swine herd was used to analyze effects of selection method on genetic change, inbreeding and genetic variance over 10 yr for traits with heritabilities (h2) of .10, .30 and .60. Selection of replacement animals was either on individual phenotype or best linear unbiased predictor (BLUP) of breeding value using an animal model. For both methods, culling of existing breeding animals was at random on age and reproductive performance. The effect of additional culling of existing breeding animals when a replacement with better individual phenotype or BLUP of breeding value was available also was evaluated. Genetic gain was greater for selection on BLUP than on individual phenotype, but relative differences narrowed with increasing heritability. At yr 10 the relative advantage of selection on BLUP was 55% for h2 = .10, 25% for h2 = .30 and 10% for h2 = .60. Culling when a replacement with better individual phenotype or BLUP of breeding value was available resulted in considerably increased genetic progress (34% to 57%). The proportional effect of culling on rate of genetic gain was relatively independent of heritability and type of selection. Inbreeding (F) was higher with selection on BLUP (F = .27 to .38 at yr 10) than on individual phenotype (F = .17 to .22 at yr 10). As heritability increased, rate of inbreeding increased for selection on individual phenotype, but rate of inbreeding tended to decrease with increasing heritability for selection on BLUP.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)