Arocho Rachel
Carolina Population Center, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, 123 West Franklin Street, Chapel Hill, NC 27516.
Emerg Adulthood. 2021 Jun 1;9(3):217-228. doi: 10.1177/2167696819879008. Epub 2019 Oct 3.
Marriage and divorce expectations predict family life and personal outcomes. Understanding how expectations are associated with varying characteristics over emerging adulthood (ages 18-28) will inform understanding of emerging adult development. Panel Study of Income Dynamics Transition into Adulthood 2005-2015 data were used in hybrid-effects ordinal logistic regression to parse interindividual and intraindividual variation associated with relationship experiences, socioeconomic and contextual characteristics, and mental and emotional wellbeing. Partnerships were associated with optimistic expectations: both dating and cohabiting predicted greater marriage expectations and lower divorce expectations within individuals. Between individuals, greater time in full-time employment predicted more positive marital expectations, greater responsibility was associated with lower marital expectations, stronger religious identity predicted higher marital expectations and lower divorce expectations, having been arrested predicted greater divorce expectations, greater wellbeing predicted greater marriage expectations, and older age predicted lower marriage expectations. Both between and within individuals, greater worry predicted lower marriage expectations.
婚姻和离婚期望能够预测家庭生活及个人结局。了解期望如何与成年初期（18至28岁）的不同特征相关联，将有助于理解成年初期的发展。利用收入动态追踪研究向成年期过渡2005 - 2015年的数据，进行混合效应有序逻辑回归，以剖析与恋爱经历、社会经济和背景特征以及心理和情绪健康相关的个体间和个体内差异。恋爱关系与乐观期望相关：约会和同居都预示着个体对婚姻的期望更高，对离婚的期望更低。在个体之间，全职工作时间越长，对婚姻的期望越积极；责任越大，对婚姻的期望越低；宗教认同感越强，对婚姻的期望越高，对离婚的期望越低；曾被捕预示着对离婚的期望更高；幸福感越强，对婚姻的期望越高；年龄越大，对婚姻的期望越低。在个体之间和个体内部，担忧越多，对婚姻的期望越低。
