Arocho Rachel, Purtell Kelly
The Ohio State University, Department of Human Sciences, Program in Human Development and Family Science.
Emerg Adulthood. 2020 Apr;8(2):118-132. doi: 10.1177/2167696818790826. Epub 2018 Aug 6.
Expectations that one may eventually divorce may predict behavior in young adulthood and beyond, but studies that have looked at individuals' assessments of their divorce likelihood have been limited. Guided by the expectancy-value theory of achievement motivation, we tested five categories of potential predictors of divorce expectations in a sample of 1,610 unmarried young adults from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics Transition to Adulthood study. Predictors were tested separately by gender and partnership status. Results suggested that some predictors mattered more for some groups than others, such as employment for single men, or certainty of marriage for partnered women. Consistent with prior research, caregiver divorce was significantly associated with expectations to divorce, but was only one of many factors found to predict these expectations. Socioeconomic factors and experiences and expectations of other relationships consistently predicted expectations. Expectations to divorce are multifaceted and complex.
人们最终可能离婚的预期或许能预测其成年早期及之后的行为，但考察个人对自身离婚可能性评估的研究一直很有限。在成就动机的期望 - 价值理论指导下，我们在收入动态面板研究向成年期过渡研究中的1610名未婚青年成年人样本中，测试了五类离婚预期的潜在预测因素。预测因素按性别和伴侣关系状况分别进行了测试。结果表明，某些预测因素对某些群体的影响比其他群体更大，比如单身男性的就业情况，或者有伴侣女性对婚姻的确定性。与先前研究一致，照料者离婚与离婚预期显著相关，但只是众多被发现可预测这些预期的因素之一。社会经济因素以及其他关系的经历和预期始终能预测离婚预期。离婚预期是多方面且复杂的。
