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苏格兰重症监护服务的可及性公平性:贝叶斯空间分析

Equity of access to critical care services in Scotland: A Bayesian spatial analysis.

作者信息

Emerson Philip, Green David R, Stott Steve, Maclennan Graeme, Campbell Marion K, Jansen Jan O

机构信息

University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, UK.

Department of Geography and Environment, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, UK.

出版信息

J Intensive Care Soc. 2021 May;22(2):127-135. doi: 10.1177/1751143720914462. Epub 2020 Mar 27.

DOI:10.1177/1751143720914462
PMID:34025752
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC8120572/
Abstract

BACKGROUND

There is increasing evidence that access to critical care services is not equitable. We aimed to investigate whether location of residence in Scotland impacts on the risk of admission to an Intensive Care Unit and on outcomes.

METHODS

This was a population-based Bayesian spatial analysis of adult patients admitted to Intensive Care Units in Scotland between January 2011 and December 2015. We used a Besag-York-Mollié model that allows us to make direct probabilistic comparisons between areas regarding risk of admission to Intensive Care Units and on outcomes.

RESULTS

A total of 17,596 patients were included. The five-year age- and sex-standardised admission rate was 352 per 100,000 residents. There was a cluster of Council Areas in the North-East of the country which had lower adjusted admission rates than the Scottish average. Midlothian, in South East Scotland had higher spatially adjusted admission rates than the Scottish average. There was no evidence of geographical variation in mortality.

CONCLUSION

Access to critical care services in Scotland varies with location of residence. Possible reasons include differential co-morbidity burden, service provision and access to critical care services. In contrast, the probability of surviving an Intensive Care Unit admission, if admitted, does not show geographical variation.

摘要

背景

越来越多的证据表明,获得重症监护服务的机会并不公平。我们旨在调查苏格兰的居住地点是否会影响入住重症监护病房的风险及治疗结果。

方法

这是一项基于人群的贝叶斯空间分析,研究对象为2011年1月至2015年12月期间在苏格兰入住重症监护病房的成年患者。我们使用了贝萨格 - 约克 - 莫利模型,该模型使我们能够直接对不同地区入住重症监护病房的风险及治疗结果进行概率比较。

结果

共纳入17596名患者。年龄和性别标准化的五年入住率为每10万居民352例。该国东北部有一组议会区的调整后入住率低于苏格兰平均水平。苏格兰东南部的米德洛锡安郡的空间调整后入住率高于苏格兰平均水平。没有证据表明死亡率存在地理差异。

结论

苏格兰获得重症监护服务的机会因居住地点而异。可能的原因包括不同的合并症负担、服务提供情况以及获得重症监护服务的机会。相比之下,如果入住重症监护病房,存活的概率并未显示出地理差异。

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本文引用的文献

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Spatial smoothing in Bayesian models: a comparison of weights matrix specifications and their impact on inference.贝叶斯模型中的空间平滑:权重矩阵规范的比较及其对推断的影响。
Int J Health Geogr. 2017 Dec 16;16(1):47. doi: 10.1186/s12942-017-0120-x.
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Risk of Death Influences Regional Variation in Intensive Care Unit Admission Rates among the Elderly in the United States.死亡风险影响美国老年人重症监护病房入住率的地区差异。
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Five-Year Mortality and Hospital Costs Associated with Surviving Intensive Care.重症监护存活者的五年死亡率及住院费用
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Equity of Access to Critical Care Among Elderly Patients in Scotland: A National Cohort Study.苏格兰老年患者重症监护的可及性公平性:一项全国队列研究
Crit Care Med. 2016 Jan;44(1):3-13. doi: 10.1097/CCM.0000000000001377.
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Epidemiology and outcomes of older patients admitted to Scottish intensive care units: a national database linkage study.苏格兰重症监护病房老年患者的流行病学和结局:一项全国数据库关联研究。
Lancet. 2015 Feb 26;385 Suppl 1:S33. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(15)60348-8.
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Geographical variation in use of intensive care: a nationwide study.重症监护使用的地域差异:一项全国性研究。
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External validation of the Intensive Care National Audit & Research Centre (ICNARC) risk prediction model in critical care units in Scotland.重症监护国家审计与研究中心(ICNARC)风险预测模型在苏格兰重症监护病房的外部验证
BMC Anesthesiol. 2014 Dec 15;14:116. doi: 10.1186/1471-2253-14-116. eCollection 2014.
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Clinical review: International comparisons in critical care - lessons learned.临床综述:重症监护领域的国际比较——经验教训
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