Zubarioglu Adil Umut, Yıldırım Özgür, Zeybek Cenap, Balaban İsmail, Yazıcıoglu Volkan, Aliyev Bahruz
Neonatology, Yeni Yuzyıl University, Istanbul, TUR.
Cardiovascular Surgery, Yeni Yuzyıl University, Istanbul, TUR.
Cureus. 2021 May 19;13(5):e15110. doi: 10.7759/cureus.15110.
We aimed to validate the vasoactive-ventilation-renal (VVR) score and to compare it with other indices as a predictor of outcome in neonates recovering from surgery for critical congenital heart disease. We also sought to determine the optimal time at which the VVR score should be measured.
We retrospectively reviewed neonates recovering from cardiac surgery between July 2017 and June 2020. The VVR score was calculated at admission, 24, 48, and 72 hours postoperatively. Max values, defined as the highest of the four scores, were also recorded. The main end result of interest was a composite outcome which included prolonged intensive care unit stay and mortality. Receiver operating characteristic curves were generated, and areas under the curve with 95% confidence intervals were calculated for all time points. Multivariable logistic regression modeling was also performed.
We reviewed 73 neonates and 21 of them showed composite outcomes. The area under the curve value for VVR score as a predictor of composite outcome was greatest at postoperative 72-hour max (AUC= 0.967; 95% confidence interval, (0.927-1). On multivariable regression analysis, the VVR max 72 hours remained a strong independent predictor of prolonged ICU stay and mortality (odds ratio, 1.452; 95% confidence interval, 1.036-2.035).
We validated the utility of the VVR score in neonatal cardiac surgery for critical congenital heart disease. The VVR follow-up in postoperative 72 hours is superior to other indices and especially the maximum VVR value is a potentially powerful clinical tool to predict ICU stay and mortality.
我们旨在验证血管活性-通气-肾脏(VVR)评分,并将其与其他指标进行比较,以预测患有严重先天性心脏病的新生儿术后恢复的结局。我们还试图确定测量VVR评分的最佳时间。
我们回顾性分析了2017年7月至2020年6月间接受心脏手术的新生儿。在入院时、术后24、48和72小时计算VVR评分。还记录了最大值,即四个评分中的最高值。主要关注的最终结果是一个综合结局,包括重症监护病房住院时间延长和死亡率。生成了受试者工作特征曲线,并计算了所有时间点曲线下面积及其95%置信区间。还进行了多变量逻辑回归建模。
我们回顾了73例新生儿,其中21例出现了综合结局。作为综合结局预测指标的VVR评分曲线下面积值在术后72小时最大值时最大(AUC = 0.967;95%置信区间,(0.927 - 1)。在多变量回归分析中,术后72小时的VVR最大值仍然是重症监护病房住院时间延长和死亡率的强有力独立预测指标(优势比,1.452;95%置信区间,1.036 - 2.035)。
我们验证了VVR评分在患有严重先天性心脏病的新生儿心脏手术中的效用。术后72小时的VVR随访优于其他指标,尤其是最大VVR值是预测重症监护病房住院时间和死亡率的潜在有力临床工具。