Institute for Mental Health Policy Research, Centre for Addiction and Mental Health (CAMH), 33 Ursula Franklin Street, Toronto, Ontario, M5S 2S1, Canada.
Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, 6th Floor, 155 College Street, Toronto, Ontario, M5T 3M7, Canada.
Popul Health Metr. 2021 Jun 7;19(1):28. doi: 10.1186/s12963-021-00261-4.
It remains unclear whether alcohol use disorders (AUDs) can be characterized by specific levels of average daily alcohol consumption. The aim of the current study was to model the distributions of average daily alcohol consumption among those who consume alcohol and those with alcohol dependence, the most severe AUD, using various clustering techniques.
Data from Wave 1 and Wave 2 of the National Epidemiologic Survey on Alcohol and Related Conditions were used in the current analyses. Clustering algorithms were applied in order to group a set of data points that represent the average daily amount of alcohol consumed. Gaussian Mixture Models (GMMs) were then used to estimate the likelihood of a data point belonging to one of the mixture distributions. Individuals were assigned to the clusters which had the highest posterior probabilities from the GMMs, and their treatment utilization rate was examined for each of the clusters.
Modeling alcohol consumption via clustering techniques was feasible. The clusters identified did not point to alcohol dependence as a separate cluster characterized by a higher level of alcohol consumption. Among both females and males with alcohol dependence, daily alcohol consumption was relatively low.
Overall, we found little evidence for clusters of people with the same drinking distribution, which could be characterized as clinically relevant for people with alcohol use disorders as currently defined.
目前尚不清楚酒精使用障碍(AUD)是否可以通过特定的平均日饮酒量来描述。本研究的目的是使用各种聚类技术对饮酒者和酒精依赖者(最严重的 AUD)的平均日饮酒量分布进行建模。
本研究使用了国家酒精和相关情况流行病学调查的第 1 波和第 2 波的数据。聚类算法用于将一组代表平均每日饮酒量的数据点进行分组。然后使用高斯混合模型(GMM)来估计数据点属于混合分布之一的可能性。个体根据 GMM 中的后验概率最高被分配到聚类中,并检查每个聚类的治疗利用率。
通过聚类技术对酒精消费进行建模是可行的。聚类技术识别出的聚类并没有将酒精依赖作为一个以更高饮酒量为特征的单独聚类。在女性和男性酒精依赖者中,每日酒精摄入量相对较低。
总体而言,我们几乎没有发现具有相同饮酒分布的人群聚类的证据,这可能与目前定义的酒精使用障碍人群的临床相关性不大。