Department of Chronic Disease Epidemiology, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut.
Department of Surgery, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut.
JAMA Netw Open. 2021 Jun 1;4(6):e2112539. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2021.12539.
While increased adherence to colorectal cancer (CRC) screening guidelines in the US has been associated with significant reductions in cancer incidence in US individuals aged 50 years and older, the incidence of CRC among those aged younger than 50 years has been steadily increasing. Understanding the survival among individuals with early-onset CRC compared with those aged 50 years and older is fundamental to informing treatment approaches and understanding the unique biological distinctiveness within early-onset CRC.
To characterize the overall survival for individuals with early-onset CRC.
DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This cohort study used data from the National Cancer Database. Included individuals were ages 0 to 90 years and diagnosed with primary CRC from January 1, 2004, through December 31, 2015. Individuals diagnosed at ages 51 through 55 years were selected as the reference group and defined as later-onset CRC for this study. Individuals diagnosed at age 50 years were excluded to minimize an apparent screening detection bias at that age in our population, given that these individuals disproportionately presented with earlier stage. All statistical analyses were conducted from January 4, 2020, through December 26, 2020.
Early-onset CRC was defined as age younger than 50 years at diagnosis.
Overall survival was assessed by Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox proportional hazards regression.
Among 769 871 individuals with CRC (377 890 [49.1%] women; 636 791 White individuals [82.7%]), 353 989 individuals (46.0%) died (median [range] follow-up: 2.9 [0-14.0] years), 102 168 individuals (13.3%) had early-onset CRC, and 78 812 individuals (10.2%) had later-onset CRC. Individuals with early-onset CRC, compared with those diagnosed with CRC at ages 51 through 55 years, had a lower 10-year survival rate (53.6% [95% CI, 53.2%-54.0%] vs 54.3% [95% CI, 53.8%-54.8%]; P < .001) in unadjusted analysis. However, after adjustment for other factors associated with mortality, most notably stage, individuals with early-onset CRC had a lower risk of death compared with individuals diagnosed from ages 51 through 55 years (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 0.95 [95% CI, 0.93-0.96]; P < .001). In the model adjusted for stage, the HR for individuals with early-onset CRC was 0.89 (95% CI, 0.88-0.90; P < .001). The survival advantage was greatest for individuals diagnosed at ages 35 through 39 years (adjusted HR, 0.88 [95% CI, 0.84-0.92]; P < .001) and stages I (adjusted HR, 0.87 [95% CI, 0.81-0.93]; P < .001) and II (adjusted HR, 0.86 [95% CI, 0.82-0.90]; P < .001) and was absent among those diagnosed at ages 25 years or younger and stages III through IV.
These findings suggest that there is a survival benefit for individuals with early-onset CRC compared with those diagnosed with CRC at later ages. Further study is needed to understand the underlying heterogeneity of survival among individuals with early-onset CRC by age and stage.
尽管美国结直肠癌(CRC)筛查指南的依从性增加与美国 50 岁及以上人群的癌症发病率显著降低有关,但 50 岁以下人群的 CRC 发病率一直在稳步上升。了解与 50 岁及以上人群相比,早发性 CRC 患者的生存情况对于告知治疗方法和了解早发性 CRC 内独特的生物学特征至关重要。
描述早发性 CRC 患者的总体生存率。
设计、设置和参与者:本队列研究使用了国家癌症数据库的数据。纳入的患者年龄在 0 至 90 岁之间,于 2004 年 1 月 1 日至 2015 年 12 月 31 日被诊断为原发性 CRC。选择 51 至 55 岁被诊断的患者作为参考组,为本研究定义为晚发性 CRC。排除 50 岁被诊断的患者以最小化在我们的人群中该年龄明显的筛查检测偏倚,因为这些患者不成比例地表现出更早的阶段。所有统计分析均于 2020 年 1 月 4 日至 2020 年 12 月 26 日进行。
早发性 CRC 定义为诊断时年龄小于 50 岁。
通过 Kaplan-Meier 分析和 Cox 比例风险回归评估总生存率。
在 769871 例 CRC 患者中(377890 例女性;636791 例白人[82.7%]),353989 例(46.0%)死亡(中位数[范围]随访:2.9[0-14.0]年),102168 例(13.3%)患有早发性 CRC,78812 例(10.2%)患有晚发性 CRC。与被诊断为 51 至 55 岁 CRC 的患者相比,早发性 CRC 患者的 10 年生存率较低(53.6%[95%CI,53.2%-54.0%]比 54.3%[95%CI,53.8%-54.8%];P<.001),未经调整分析。然而,在调整了与死亡率相关的其他因素后,尤其是分期,早发性 CRC 患者的死亡风险低于 51 至 55 岁被诊断的患者(调整后的危险比[HR],0.95[95%CI,0.93-0.96];P<.001)。在调整分期的模型中,早发性 CRC 患者的 HR 为 0.89(95%CI,0.88-0.90;P<.001)。对于被诊断为 35 至 39 岁的患者(调整后的 HR,0.88[95%CI,0.84-0.92];P<.001)和 I 期(调整后的 HR,0.87[95%CI,0.81-0.93];P<.001)和 II 期(调整后的 HR,0.86[95%CI,0.82-0.90];P<.001)患者的生存优势最大,而在被诊断为 25 岁或以下和 III 期至 IV 期的患者中则不存在。
这些发现表明,与较晚年龄被诊断为 CRC 的患者相比,早发性 CRC 患者的生存获益更大。需要进一步研究以了解早发性 CRC 患者的生存情况的潜在异质性,包括年龄和分期。