Wilson M E, Spiegelhalter D, Robertson J A, Lesser P
Department of Anaesthesia, Royal United Hospital, Bath.
Br J Anaesth. 1988 Aug;61(2):211-6. doi: 10.1093/bja/61.2.211.
The amount of larynx seen at intubation was assessed in 633 adult patients undergoing routine surgery. Various measurements of the head and neck were made in an attempt to discover which features were associated with difficulty with laryngoscopy (defined as the inability to see even the arytenoids). In addition 38 patients, reported by colleagues because they had been "difficult to intubate", were measured. Five useful risk factors, measured at three levels of severity, were identified. A simple predictive rule was developed and tested on a prospective set of 778 patients, in 1.5% of whom laryngoscopy was found to be difficult. Depending on the threshold chosen, the rule allowed the detection of, for example, 75% of the "difficult" laryngoscopies at a cost of falsely identifying 12% of the "not difficult" patients.
对633例接受常规手术的成年患者在插管时可见的喉部情况进行了评估。对头颈部进行了各种测量,试图找出哪些特征与喉镜检查困难(定义为甚至无法看到杓状软骨)相关。此外,对同事报告的38例因“插管困难”的患者进行了测量。确定了五个在三个严重程度级别上测量的有用风险因素。制定了一个简单的预测规则,并在前瞻性的778例患者中进行了测试,其中1.5%的患者被发现喉镜检查困难。根据所选阈值,该规则能够检测出例如75%的“困难”喉镜检查,代价是错误识别12%的“非困难”患者。