Oak Ridge Institute for Science Education fellow at U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, D.C., United States of America.
Office of Research and Development, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, D.C., United States of America.
PLoS One. 2021 Jun 24;16(6):e0253343. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0253343. eCollection 2021.
Changing environmental conditions are forcing natural resource managers and communities to adapt their strategies to account for global shifts in precipitation, temperature, sea level and more, all of which are occurring in addition to local human impacts. Adapting to threats from climate change requires a fundamental shift in the practice of natural resource management through the development of forward-looking "climate-smart" goals and strategies. Here we present a proof-of-concept application of a decision-support tool to help design climate-smart management actions for the watershed and coral reef management plan for Guánica Bay watershed in southwest Puerto Rico. We also explore the connection between adaptation planning and coral reef resilience, using a recently developed Puerto Rico-wide reef resilience assessment. In the first phase of the study, we used the publicly available Adaptation Design Tool to draft initial climate-smart versions of twelve proposed management actions. In the second phase, two actions (dirt road management on steep slopes, and coral reef restoration) were further refined through consultations with local experts to make more detailed design adjustments; this included the option to use information from the coral reef resilience assessment to inform design improvements. The first phase resulted in moderately detailed assessments that broadly accounted for anticipated direct and indirect effects of climate change on the planned management actions. The second phase resulted in more site-specific technical assessments and additional important design details. The expert panel charged with discussing climate-smart reef restoration around Guánica used the reef resilience assessment to guide discussion of reef restoration, highlighting the importance of having such information available for adaptation planning. This study demonstrates how climate change impacts can be effectively incorporated into a management plan at the most granular level of planning and how a structured, formalized process can be as valuable as the resulting adaptation information.
不断变化的环境条件迫使自然资源管理者和社区调整其策略,以应对降水、温度、海平面等方面的全球变化,而所有这些变化都发生在当地人为影响之外。适应气候变化的威胁需要通过制定前瞻性的“气候智能”目标和战略,从根本上改变自然资源管理的实践。在这里,我们提出了一个决策支持工具的概念验证应用,以帮助设计波多黎各瓜尼卡湾流域的流域和珊瑚礁管理计划的气候智能管理行动。我们还探讨了适应规划与珊瑚礁恢复力之间的联系,使用了最近开发的波多黎各范围的珊瑚礁恢复力评估。在研究的第一阶段,我们使用了公开的适应性设计工具,起草了十二项拟议管理行动的初始气候智能版本。在第二阶段,通过与当地专家的磋商,对两项行动(陡坡上的土路管理和珊瑚礁恢复)进行了进一步细化,以进行更详细的设计调整;这包括使用珊瑚礁恢复力评估的信息来改进设计的选项。第一阶段产生了较为详细的评估,广泛考虑了气候变化对计划管理行动的直接和间接影响。第二阶段产生了更具体的技术评估和更多重要的设计细节。负责讨论瓜尼卡周围的气候智能珊瑚礁恢复的专家小组利用珊瑚礁恢复力评估来指导珊瑚礁恢复的讨论,强调了拥有此类信息对适应规划的重要性。本研究表明,气候变化的影响如何能够有效地纳入最细粒度的规划管理计划,以及结构化、形式化的过程如何与由此产生的适应信息一样有价值。