Centre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia.
Doherty Institute for Infection and Immunity, University of Melbourne and Royal Melbourne Hospital, Melbourne, Australia.
J Antimicrob Chemother. 2021 Aug 12;76(9):2325-2334. doi: 10.1093/jac/dkab181.
The efficacy of artemisinin-based combination therapies (ACTs), the first-line treatments for uncomplicated falciparum malaria, has been declining in malaria-endemic countries due to the emergence of malaria parasites resistant to these compounds. Novel alternative therapies are needed urgently to prevent the likely surge in morbidity and mortality due to failing ACTs.
This study investigates the efficacy of the combination of two novel drugs, OZ439 and DSM265, using a biologically informed within-host mathematical model.
A within-host model was developed, which accounts for the differential killing of these compounds against different stages of the parasite's life cycle and accommodates the pharmacodynamic interaction between the drugs. Data of healthy volunteers infected with falciparum malaria collected from four trials (three that administered OZ439 and DSM265 alone, and the fourth a combination of OZ439 and DSM265) were analysed. Model parameters were estimated in a hierarchical Bayesian framework.
The posterior predictive simulations of our model predicted that 800 mg of OZ439 combined with 450 mg of DSM265, which are within the safe and tolerable dose range, can provide above 90% cure rates 42 days after drug administration.
Our results show that the combination of OZ439 and DSM265 can be a promising alternative to replace ACTs. Our model can be used to inform future Phase 2 and 3 clinical trials of OZ439/DSM265, fast-tracking the deployment of this combination therapy in the regions where ACTs are failing. The dosing regimens that are shown to be efficacious and within safe and tolerable limits are suggested for future investigations.
由于疟原虫对这些化合物产生了耐药性,青蒿素类复方疗法(ACTs)作为治疗无并发症恶性疟原虫感染的一线药物,其疗效在疟疾流行国家不断下降。因此,急需寻找新的替代疗法,以防止因 ACTs 失效而导致发病率和死亡率的大幅上升。
本研究利用基于生物学的个体内数学模型,评估新型药物 OZ439 和 DSM265 联合治疗的疗效。
我们开发了一种个体内模型,该模型考虑了这些化合物对寄生虫生命周期不同阶段的不同杀伤作用,并容纳了药物之间的药效学相互作用。我们对四项临床试验(三项单独使用 OZ439 和 DSM265,以及第四项联合使用 OZ439 和 DSM265)中感染恶性疟原虫的健康志愿者的数据进行了分析。我们采用分层贝叶斯框架来估计模型参数。
我们的模型的后验预测模拟表明,在药物给药后 42 天,使用 800mg OZ439 联合 450mg DSM265 这一在安全耐受范围内的剂量,可以提供超过 90%的治愈率。
我们的研究结果表明,OZ439 和 DSM265 的联合使用可能是替代 ACTs 的一种有前途的选择。我们的模型可以用于指导未来 OZ439/DSM265 的 II 期和 III 期临床试验,加快在 ACTs 失效地区部署这种联合疗法。建议对显示出疗效且在安全耐受范围内的剂量方案进行进一步研究。