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2020 年美国每周死亡数据分析:新冠大流行期间特定疾病超额死亡率。

Disease-Specific Excess Mortality During the COVID-19 Pandemic: An Analysis of Weekly US Death Data for 2020.

机构信息

Dongshan Zhu is with the Centre for Health Management and Policy Research, School of Public Health, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, and the NHC Key Lab of Health Economics and Policy Research (Shandong University), Jinan, China. Akihiko Ozaki is with the Department of Breast Surgery, Jyoban Hospital of Tokiwa Foundation, Fukushima, and the Medical Governance Research Institute, Tokyo, Japan. Salim S. Virani is with the Michael E. DeBakey VA Medical Center and Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX.

出版信息

Am J Public Health. 2021 Aug;111(8):1518-1522. doi: 10.2105/AJPH.2021.306315. Epub 2021 Jun 29.

Abstract

To examine the disease-specific excess deaths during the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States. We used weekly death data from the National Center for Health Statistics to analyze the trajectories of excess deaths from specific diseases in the United States during the COVID-19 pandemic, at the national level and in 4 states, from the first to 52nd week of 2020. We used the average weekly number of deaths in the previous 6 years (2014-2019) as baseline. Compared with the same week at baseline, the trajectory of number of excess deaths from cardiovascular disease (CVD) was highly parallel to the trajectory of the number of excess deaths related to COVID-19. The number of excess deaths from diabetes mellitus, influenza and respiratory diseases, and malignant neoplasms remained relatively stable over time. The parallel trajectory of excess mortality from CVD and COVID-19 over time reflects the fact that essential health services for noncommunicable diseases were reduced or disrupted during the COVID-19 pandemic, and the severer the pandemic, the heavier the impact.

摘要

为了研究美国 COVID-19 大流行期间特定疾病的超额死亡。我们使用国家卫生统计中心每周的死亡数据,分析了 2020 年第一周至第 52 周期间美国 COVID-19 大流行期间特定疾病的超额死亡轨迹,在全国和 4 个州。我们以前 6 年(2014-2019 年)的每周平均死亡人数为基准。与基线相同周相比,心血管疾病(CVD)的超额死亡人数的轨迹与 COVID-19 相关的超额死亡人数的轨迹高度平行。糖尿病、流感和呼吸道疾病以及恶性肿瘤的超额死亡人数随时间相对稳定。CVD 和 COVID-19 的超额死亡率随时间的平行轨迹反映了一个事实,即在 COVID-19 大流行期间,非传染性疾病的基本卫生服务减少或中断,大流行越严重,影响越严重。

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