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探讨非经济因素在中国能源消费和二氧化碳排放中的作用:绿色经济的政策选择。

Examining the role of non-economic factors in energy consumption and CO2 emissions in China: policy options for the green economy.

机构信息

School of Economics and Management, Southwest Petroleum University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China.

School of Public Administration, Xiangtan University, Xiangtan, Hunan, China.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2021 Dec;28(47):67667-67676. doi: 10.1007/s11356-021-15359-3. Epub 2021 Jul 14.

Abstract

China has consumed relatively high energy consumption and large carbon emitters since the 2000s compared to other emerging countries. This study explores the impact of non-economic factors on energy consumption and CO2 emissions in China from 1991 to 2019. By using a linear autoregressive distributed lagged (ARDL) bounds testing approach for a cointegration link between non-economic factors, energy consumption, and CO2 emissions. The result shows that education, law and order, and social globalization have negative impact on energy consumption and CO2 emissions in long run. The results show that population growth exerts positive pressure on energy consumption and CO2 emissions. The impact of non-economic factors in energy consumption and CO2 emissions are also likely to be evident in the future. The findings of this study can be valuable to authorities and policymakers in the terms of installing clean energy and green economy.

摘要

中国在 2000 年代以来的能源消耗和碳排放量相对较高,与其他新兴国家相比。本研究探讨了 1991 年至 2019 年期间非经济因素对中国能源消耗和二氧化碳排放的影响。通过使用线性自回归分布滞后(ARDL)检验方法来检验非经济因素、能源消耗和二氧化碳排放之间的协整关系。结果表明,教育、法律秩序和社会全球化对能源消耗和二氧化碳排放的长期影响是负面的。结果还表明,人口增长对能源消耗和二氧化碳排放产生了积极的压力。非经济因素对能源消耗和二氧化碳排放的影响在未来也可能更加明显。本研究的结果对于有关部门和决策者在安装清洁能源和绿色经济方面具有重要意义。

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