Department of Environmental Science and Policy, University of California, Davis, Davis, California, 95616, USA.
University Fellow, Resources For the Future, Washington, D.C., 20036, USA.
Ecol Appl. 2021 Oct;31(7):e02421. doi: 10.1002/eap.2421. Epub 2021 Aug 30.
Natural resource management is evolving toward holistic, ecosystem-based approaches to decision making. The ecosystem science underpinning these approaches needs to account for the complexity of multiple interacting components within and across coupled natural-human systems. In this research, we investigate the potential economic and ecological gains from adopting ecosystem-based approaches for the sardine and anchovy fisheries off of the coast of California, USA. Research has shown that while predators in this system are likely substituting one forage species for another, the assemblage of sardine and anchovy can be a significant driver of predator populations. Currently, the harvest control rules for sardine and anchovy fisheries align more with traditional single species framework. We ask what are the economic and ecological gains when jointly determining the harvest control rules for both forage fish stocks and their predators relative to the status quo? What are the implications of synchronous and anti-synchronous environmental recruitment variation between the anchovy and sardine stocks on optimal food-web management? To investigate these questions, we develop an economic-ecological model for sardine, anchovy, a harvested predator (halibut), and an endangered predator (Brown Pelican) that includes recruitment variability over time driven by changing environmental conditions. Utilizing large-scale numerical optimal control methods, we investigate how the multiple variants of integrated management of sardine, anchovy, and halibut impact the overall economic condition of the fisheries and Brown Pelican populations over time. We find significant gains in moving to integrated catch control rules both in terms of the economic gains of the fished stocks, and in terms of the impacts on the Brown Pelican populations. We also compare the relative performance of current stylized catch control rules to optimal single species and optimal ecosystem-based fisheries management (EBFM) across ecological and economic dimensions, where the former trade-off considerable economic value for ecological goals. More generally, we demonstrate how EBFM approaches introduce and integrate additional management levers for policymakers to achieve non-fishery objectives at lowest costs to the fishing sectors.
自然资源管理正朝着整体的、基于生态系统的决策方法发展。这些方法所基于的生态系统科学需要考虑到相互作用的多个组件在耦合的自然-人类系统内和跨系统的复杂性。在这项研究中,我们调查了在美国加利福尼亚沿海采用基于生态系统的方法对沙丁鱼和凤尾鱼渔业的潜在经济和生态收益。研究表明,尽管该系统中的捕食者可能会用一种饲料物种替代另一种,但沙丁鱼和凤尾鱼的组合可能是捕食者种群的重要驱动因素。目前,沙丁鱼和凤尾鱼渔业的捕捞控制规则更符合传统的单一物种框架。我们想知道,当相对于现状联合确定两种饲料鱼类资源及其捕食者的捕捞控制规则时,会带来哪些经济和生态收益?凤尾鱼和沙丁鱼资源之间同步和反同步的环境补充变化对最佳食物网管理有什么影响?为了研究这些问题,我们为沙丁鱼、凤尾鱼、被捕食者(大比目鱼)和濒危捕食者(褐鹈鹕)开发了一个经济-生态模型,该模型包括由环境条件变化驱动的随时间变化的补充变异性。利用大规模数值最优控制方法,我们研究了综合管理沙丁鱼、凤尾鱼和大比目鱼的多种变体如何随着时间的推移对渔业和褐鹈鹕种群的整体经济状况产生影响。我们发现,转向综合捕捞控制规则会带来显著的收益,无论是从捕捞资源的经济收益,还是从对褐鹈鹕种群的影响来看都是如此。我们还比较了当前简化的捕捞控制规则与最优单一物种和最优基于生态系统的渔业管理(EBFM)在生态和经济维度上的相对表现,前者为实现生态目标而牺牲了相当大的经济价值。更一般地说,我们展示了 EBFM 方法如何为政策制定者引入和整合额外的管理手段,以最低的渔业部门成本实现非渔业目标。