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公元 1500 年以来瓜迪亚纳河流域的灾难性洪水。

The catastrophic floods in the Guadiana River basin since 1500 CE.

机构信息

Departamento de Física, Universidad de Extremadura, Badajoz, Spain.

Departamento de Física, Centro Universitario de Mérida, Universidad de Extremadura, Avda. Santa Teresa de Jornet 38, 06800 Mérida, Badajoz, Spain.

出版信息

Sci Total Environ. 2021 Nov 25;797:149141. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.149141. Epub 2021 Jul 21.

Abstract

The task of retrieving information about past flood events is very important to reconstruct flood series data. In this work, a wide range of different sources including newspapers, technical reports, and books was consulted in order to recover information about catastrophic flood events in Badajoz (Spain). A set of 37 catastrophic floods of the Guadiana River that occurred in Badajoz in the winter months (DJFM - December, January, February, and March) have been recovered since 1500 CE. This strong seasonality constrain is due to the important influence of the large-scale circulation patterns in winter affecting the climate of the Iberian Peninsula. Moreover, it is found that there is a clear difference between a higher number of floods in the 19th and 20th centuries and a substantial lower value of floods in the 16th-18th centuries. Finally, we evaluated the long-term evolution and inter-annual variability of the precipitation and the main large-scale atmospheric circulation patterns that govern climate variability in Iberia (NAO and EA modes) for the period 1851-1985. This analysis suggests that most extreme floods observed in this period (26 events) correspond to consecutive months with higher than usual precipitation, driven in part by unusual values of both the NAO and the EA modes of variability.

摘要

检索过去洪水事件信息的任务对于重建洪水序列数据非常重要。在这项工作中,我们查阅了广泛的不同来源,包括报纸、技术报告和书籍,以获取巴达霍斯(西班牙)灾难性洪水事件的信息。自公元 1500 年以来,已经恢复了发生在巴达霍斯的瓜迪亚纳河的 37 次冬季(12 月、1 月、2 月和 3 月)灾难性洪水。这种强烈的季节性限制是由于冬季大规模环流模式对伊比利亚半岛气候的重要影响。此外,我们发现,19 世纪和 20 世纪的洪水数量明显高于 16 世纪至 18 世纪,而洪水数量则大幅减少。最后,我们评估了 1851-1985 年期间降水的长期演变和年际变化,以及控制伊比利亚气候变率的主要大气大尺度环流模式(NAO 和 EA 模式)。这一分析表明,在这一时期观察到的大多数极端洪水(26 次事件)与异常高降水的连续月份相对应,部分原因是 NAO 和 EA 模式的变异都出现了异常值。

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