Froehner Michael, Koch Rainer, Heberling Ulrike, Borkowetz Angelika, Hübler Matthias, Novotny Vladimir, Wirth Manfred P, Thomas Christian
Department of Urology, Zeisigwaldkliniken Bethanien Chemnitz, Chemnitz, Germany.
Department of Urology, University Hospital Carl Gustav Carus, Technische Universität Dresden, Dresden, Germany.
Eur Urol Open Sci. 2021 May 18;29:15-18. doi: 10.1016/j.euros.2021.04.007. eCollection 2021 Jul.
Life expectancy is increasing in many parts of the world. Using proportional hazard models for competing risks, we investigated whether this increase has changed outcomes after radical cystectomy in a sample of 1419 consecutive patients treated between 1993 and 2018. During the observation period, the mean age and the proportion of patients with American Society of Anesthesiologists physical status class 3 or 4 increased, whereas the proportion of patients with heart disease decreased. Competing mortality (causes other than bladder cancer) decreased in all subgroups (hazard ratios [HRs] per year ranged from 0.931 to 0.963) and after controlling for increasing age (HRs ranged from 1.018 to 1.081). In an optimal model resulting from an analysis including age (HR per year 1.048, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.027-1.070; < 0.0001), comorbidity, tumor-related variables, body mass index, (neoadjuvant and adjuvant) chemotherapy and smoking status, the HR per increment for year of surgery was 0.928 (95% CI 0.886-0.973; = 0.0019). The effect of year of surgery was greater than the decrease in competing mortality that may be expected with increasing life expectancy (4 yr for females, 6 yr for males).
In a review of data for 1993-2018, we found that death from other causes after removal of the bladder (radical cystectomy) for bladder cancer decreased over time. This decreasing trend might increase the age limit at which bladder cancer patients can benefit from radical cystectomy in the future.
世界许多地区的预期寿命正在增加。我们使用比例风险模型来分析竞争风险,在1993年至2018年期间连续治疗的1419例患者样本中,研究了这种增长是否改变了根治性膀胱切除术后的结果。在观察期内,美国麻醉医师协会身体状况分级为3或4级的患者的平均年龄和比例有所增加,而心脏病患者的比例有所下降。所有亚组中的竞争死亡率(膀胱癌以外的原因)均下降(每年风险比[HRs]范围为0.931至0.963),在控制年龄增长后(HRs范围为1.018至1.081)也是如此。在一个包含年龄(每年HR为1.048,95%置信区间[CI]为1.027 - 1.070;P < 0.0001)、合并症、肿瘤相关变量、体重指数、(新辅助和辅助)化疗以及吸烟状况的分析得出的最优模型中,手术年份每增加一年的HR为0.928(95% CI为0.886 - 0.973;P = 0.0019)。手术年份的影响大于预期寿命增加可能带来的竞争死亡率下降(女性为4年,男性为6年)。
在对1993 - 2018年数据的回顾中,我们发现因膀胱癌切除膀胱(根治性膀胱切除术)后其他原因导致的死亡随时间减少。这种下降趋势可能会提高未来膀胱癌患者能够从根治性膀胱切除术中获益的年龄上限。