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在雅典娜筛查登记处,较高的风险阈值预示着内分泌风险降低药物的使用。

Elevated risk thresholds predict endocrine risk-reducing medication use in the Athena screening registry.

作者信息

Huilgol Yash S, Keane Holly, Shieh Yiwey, Hiatt Robert A, Tice Jeffrey A, Madlensky Lisa, Sabacan Leah, Fiscalini Allison Stover, Ziv Elad, Acerbi Irene, Che Mandy, Anton-Culver Hoda, Borowsky Alexander D, Hunt Sharon, Naeim Arash, Parker Barbara A, van 't Veer Laura J, Esserman Laura J

机构信息

University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA.

University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, USA.

出版信息

NPJ Breast Cancer. 2021 Aug 3;7(1):102. doi: 10.1038/s41523-021-00306-9.

DOI:10.1038/s41523-021-00306-9
PMID:34344894
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC8333106/
Abstract

Risk-reducing endocrine therapy use, though the benefit is validated, is extremely low. The FDA has approved tamoxifen and raloxifene for a 5-year Breast Cancer Risk Assessment Tool (BCRAT) risk ≥ 1.67%. We examined the threshold at which high-risk women are likely to be using endocrine risk-reducing therapies among Athena Breast Health Network participants from 2011-2018. We identified high-risk women by a 5-year BCRAT risk ≥ 1.67% and those in the top 10% and 2.5% risk thresholds by age. We estimated the odds ratio (OR) of current medication use based on these thresholds using logistic regression. One thousand two hundred and one (1.2%) of 104,223 total participants used medication. Of the 33,082 participants with 5-year BCRAT risk ≥ 1.67%, 772 (2.3%) used medication. Of 2445 in the top 2.5% threshold, 209 (8.6%) used medication. Participants whose 5-year risk exceeded 1.67% were more likely to use medication than those whose risk was below this threshold, OR 3.94 (95% CI = 3.50-4.43). The top 2.5% was most strongly associated with medication usage, OR 9.50 (8.13-11.09) compared to the bottom 97.5%. Women exceeding a 5-year BCRAT ≥ 1.67% had modest medication use. We demonstrate that women in the top 2.5% have higher odds of medication use than those in the bottom 97.5% and compared to a risk of 1.67%. The top 2.5% threshold would more effectively target medication use and is being tested prospectively in a randomized control clinical trial.

摘要

尽管降低风险的内分泌疗法的益处已得到验证,但其使用极为罕见。美国食品药品监督管理局(FDA)已批准他莫昔芬和雷洛昔芬用于乳腺癌风险评估工具(BCRAT)预测的5年风险≥1.67%的情况。我们在雅典娜乳腺健康网络2011 - 2018年的参与者中,研究了高危女性可能使用内分泌风险降低疗法的阈值。我们通过5年BCRAT风险≥1.67%以及按年龄划分处于风险阈值前10%和2.5%的情况来确定高危女性。我们使用逻辑回归基于这些阈值估计当前用药的优势比(OR)。在104,223名总参与者中,1201人(1.2%)使用了药物。在33,082名5年BCRAT风险≥1.67%的参与者中,772人(2.3%)使用了药物。在处于前2.5%阈值的2445人中,209人(8.6%)使用了药物。5年风险超过1.67%的参与者比风险低于此阈值的参与者更有可能使用药物,优势比为3.94(95%置信区间 = 3.50 - 4.43)。前2.5%与药物使用的关联最为强烈,与最低的97.5%相比,优势比为9.50(8.13 - 11.09)。5年BCRAT≥1.67%的女性用药情况适中。我们证明,处于前2.5%的女性比处于最低97.5%的女性以及与风险为1.67%的情况相比,有更高的用药几率。前2.5%的阈值能更有效地针对药物使用情况,并且正在一项随机对照临床试验中进行前瞻性测试。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b54d/8333106/d78c7d655087/41523_2021_306_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b54d/8333106/d78c7d655087/41523_2021_306_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b54d/8333106/d78c7d655087/41523_2021_306_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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