Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters (CIC-FEMD), School of Geographical Sciences, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology (NUIST), Nanjing 210044, China; Chang Wang School of Honors, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology (NUIST), Nanjing 210044, China.
Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters (CIC-FEMD), School of Geographical Sciences, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology (NUIST), Nanjing 210044, China; Key Laboratory of Coastal Zone Exploitation and Protection, Ministry of Natural Resources, Nanjing 210024, China.
Sci Total Environ. 2021 Dec 1;798:149352. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.149352. Epub 2021 Jul 30.
China has released its ambitious target for carbon neutrality by 2060. With decades of top-down energy conservation and pollutant mitigation policies, the techno-mitigation space has gradually shrunk, while more mitigation space is required for a systematic approach. To help to uncover CO mitigation effects, location and better pathways from a systematic perspective, this paper combines disparity analysis and social network analysis to investigate the synergistic emissions reduction effect of urban agglomerations in three representative Chinese urban agglomerations, namely the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration (YRD), Chengdu-Chongqing urban agglomeration (CY) and Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao urban agglomeration (GHM). Based on understanding of the carbon emission disparity characteristics of the three urban agglomerations using disparity analysis, this study uses social network analysis to study the synergistic CO reductions in each urban agglomeration from three perspectives: overall, individual, and connection. The findings emphasize that CY presented the greatest synergistic development capacity but with weak driving ability, indicating that overall synergistic emission reduction was difficult to achieve in a short period. GHM presented obvious fragmentation between the core and peripheral cities, resulting in a weak synergistic mitigation effect. YRD highlighted a solid synergistic development capacity with strong driving ability by its developed cities, thus generating the greatest potential to reduce CO emissions in the short and middle terms. Different cities assume different roles in synergistic CO reduction. Our results can be expected to enlighten more regionally oriented CO mitigation policy implications from an urban agglomeration perspective.
中国提出了 2060 年前实现碳中和的宏伟目标。经过几十年的自上而下的节能和污染物减排政策,技术减排空间逐渐缩小,而系统性方法需要更多的减排空间。为了从系统的角度帮助揭示 CO 减排效果、位置和更好的途径,本文结合差异分析和社会网络分析,研究了中国三个具有代表性的城市群,即长三角城市群(YRD)、成渝城市群(CY)和粤港澳大湾区(GHM)的协同减排效应。本研究通过差异分析了解三个城市群的碳排放差异特征,然后使用社会网络分析从整体、个体和联系三个角度研究每个城市群的协同 CO 减排。研究结果强调,CY 表现出最大的协同发展能力,但驱动力较弱,这表明在短期内很难实现整体协同减排。GHM 核心城市和边缘城市之间存在明显的碎片化,导致协同减排效果较弱。YRD 凭借发达城市的强大协同发展能力和驱动力,在短期和中期具有最大的 CO 减排潜力。不同的城市在协同 CO 减排中扮演着不同的角色。我们的研究结果有望从城市群的角度为更具区域导向的 CO 减排政策提供启示。