School of Economics, Jinan University, No. 601 Huangpu West Road, Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, China.
COPPEAD Graduate Business School, Federal University of Rio de Janeiro, Rua Paschoal Lemme, 355, Rio de Janeiro CEP: 21949-900, Brazil.
Sci Total Environ. 2021 Dec 1;798:149259. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.149259. Epub 2021 Jul 29.
This research explores the sustainability drivers of the Chinese road transportation system in terms of its cargo and environmental productivity levels. A novel Fuzzy Double-Frontier Network Data Envelopment Analysis (FDFNDEA) model is proposed to investigate the relationship between desirable (freight and passenger turnovers) and undesirable (CO and NO emission levels) outputs against the respective power consumed in each one of the 29 Chinese provinces (municipalities and autonomous regions) between 1985 and 2017. The power consumption emerges spatially and temporally as a consequence of the evolution of the road system's productive resources (employees, highway length, number of vehicles, and fuel consumed) at the province level over the course of time. Shannon's entropy is used as the cornerstone to quantify input and output vagueness of this evolution in terms of triangular fuzzy numbers (TFN), thus allowing the building of alternative optimistic and pessimistic double efficiency frontiers. Respective Malmquist Productivity Indexes (MPI) for overall and each stage productivity are regressed against contextual variables related to demography, economic activity, competitor infrastructure, and highway quality using bootstrapped Cauchy regressions. Results confirm the disruptive evolution of the Chinese road transport system over the course of the years and different expansion strategies at the regions. The energy and environmental efficiency of the Chinese road transportation system is affected by these contextual variables.
本研究从货物和环境生产力水平方面探讨了中国道路运输系统的可持续发展驱动因素。提出了一种新颖的模糊双前沿网络数据包络分析(FDFNDEA)模型,以研究 1985 年至 2017 年间中国 29 个省(直辖市和自治区)在各自消耗的动力下,理想(货运和客运营业额)和不理想(CO 和 NO 排放水平)产出之间的关系。由于道路系统的生产资源(员工、高速公路长度、车辆数量和消耗的燃料)在时间上的演变,动力在空间和时间上出现。香农熵被用作量化这种演变的输入和输出模糊性的基础,以三角模糊数(TFN)的形式,从而允许建立替代的乐观和悲观的双效率前沿。使用自举 Cauchy 回归,将整体和每个阶段生产力的相应 Malmquist 生产力指数(MPI)回归到与人口统计学、经济活动、竞争对手基础设施和高速公路质量相关的背景变量。结果证实了中国道路运输系统多年来的颠覆性演变以及各地区不同的扩张策略。中国道路运输系统的能源和环境效率受到这些背景变量的影响。