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非药物策略对圣保罗州 COVID-19 趋势的影响。

Impact of nonpharmaceutical strategies on trends of COVID-19 in São Paulo State.

机构信息

Universidade Estadual Paulista. Faculdade de Medicina de Botucatu. Departamento de Infectologia. Botucatu, SP, Brasil.

Universidade Estadual Paulista. Departamento de Bioestatística. Instituto de Biociências da Botucatu. Botucatu, SP, Brasil.

出版信息

Rev Saude Publica. 2021 Aug 6;55:48. doi: 10.11606/s1518-8787.2021055003599. eCollection 2021.

DOI:10.11606/s1518-8787.2021055003599
PMID:34378767
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC8317991/
Abstract

Interrupted time series analyses were conducted to measure the impact of social distancing policies (instituted on March 22, 2020) and of subsequent mandatory masking in the community (instituted on May 4, 2020) on the incidence and effective reproductive number of COVID-19 in São Paulo State, Brazil. Overall, the impact of social distancing both on incidence and Rt was greater than the incremental effect of mandatory masking. Those findings may reflect either a small impact of face masking or the loosening of social distancing after mandatory use of masks.

摘要

采用中断时间序列分析来衡量 2020 年 3 月 22 日实施的社交距离政策和 2020 年 5 月 4 日实施的社区强制性戴口罩对巴西圣保罗州 COVID-19 的发病率和有效繁殖数的影响。总体而言,社交距离对发病率和 Rt 的影响大于强制性戴口罩的增量影响。这些发现可能反映了面部口罩的影响较小,或者在强制使用口罩后社交距离的放宽。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/644e/8317991/b059b8aa34c8/1518-8787-rsp-55-48-gf01.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/644e/8317991/b059b8aa34c8/1518-8787-rsp-55-48-gf01.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/644e/8317991/b059b8aa34c8/1518-8787-rsp-55-48-gf01.jpg

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本文引用的文献

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Taking the inner route: spatial and demographic factors affecting vulnerability to COVID-19 among 604 cities from inner São Paulo State, Brazil.走内部路线:影响巴西圣保罗州内部 604 个城市 COVID-19 脆弱性的空间和人口因素。
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Physical distancing, face masks, and eye protection to prevent person-to-person transmission of SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19: a systematic review and meta-analysis.
物理隔离、口罩和眼部防护预防 SARS-CoV-2 和 COVID-19 的人际传播:系统评价和荟萃分析。
Lancet. 2020 Jun 27;395(10242):1973-1987. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(20)31142-9. Epub 2020 Jun 1.
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How generation intervals shape the relationship between growth rates and reproductive numbers.世代间隔如何塑造增长率与繁殖数之间的关系。
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