Department of Statistics and Applied Probability, University of California, Santa Barbara, USA.
Northwest Metabolomics Research Center, Department of Anesthesiology and Pain Medicine, University of Washington School of Medicine, Seattle, USA.
J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci. 2022 Apr 1;77(4):744-754. doi: 10.1093/gerona/glab212.
Quantifying the physiology of aging is essential for improving our understanding of age-related disease and the heterogeneity of healthy aging. Recent studies have shown that, in regression models using "-omic" platforms to predict chronological age, residual variation in predicted age is correlated with health outcomes, and suggest that these "omic clocks" provide measures of biological age. This paper presents predictive models for age using metabolomic profiles of cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) from healthy human subjects and finds that metabolite and lipid data are generally able to predict chronological age within 10 years. We use these models to predict the age of a cohort of subjects with Alzheimer's and Parkinson's disease and find an increase in prediction error, potentially indicating that the relationship between the metabolome and chronological age differs with these diseases. However, evidence is not found to support the hypothesis that our models will consistently overpredict the age of these subjects. In our analysis of control subjects, we find the carnitine shuttle, sucrose, biopterin, vitamin E metabolism, tryptophan, and tyrosine to be the most associated with age. We showcase the potential usefulness of age prediction models in a small data set (n = 85) and discuss techniques for drift correction, missing data imputation, and regularized regression, which can be used to help mitigate the statistical challenges that commonly arise in this setting. To our knowledge, this work presents the first multivariate predictive metabolomic and lipidomic models for age using mass spectrometry analysis of CSF.
量化衰老的生理机能对于增进我们对于与年龄相关疾病和健康衰老的异质性的理解至关重要。最近的研究表明,在使用“组学”平台来预测年龄的回归模型中,预测年龄的剩余差异与健康结果相关,并表明这些“组学时钟”提供了生物年龄的衡量标准。本文提出了使用健康人类受试者的脑脊液(CSF)代谢组学图谱来预测年龄的模型,并发现代谢物和脂质数据通常能够在 10 年内预测出实际年龄。我们使用这些模型来预测一组患有阿尔茨海默病和帕金森病的患者的年龄,并发现预测误差增加,这可能表明代谢组与实际年龄之间的关系因这些疾病而有所不同。但是,没有证据支持我们的模型将始终高估这些患者年龄的假设。在对对照受试者的分析中,我们发现肉碱穿梭、蔗糖、生物蝶呤、维生素 E 代谢、色氨酸和酪氨酸与年龄的关联最大。我们展示了年龄预测模型在小数据集(n = 85)中的潜在用途,并讨论了漂移校正、缺失数据插补和正则化回归等技术,这些技术可用于帮助减轻在这种情况下通常出现的统计挑战。据我们所知,这是使用 CSF 质谱分析首次提出的用于预测年龄的代谢组学和脂质组学多元预测模型。