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2010 年至 2017 年,蒙古高原不同多年冻土区近地表 CO 和 CH 浓度的时空变化模式。

Spatial and temporal change patterns of near-surface CO and CH concentrations in different permafrost regions on the Mongolian Plateau from 2010 to 2017.

机构信息

Institute of Geography and Geoecology, Mongolian Academy of Sciences, Ulaanbaatar 15170, Mongolia.

Institute of Geography and Geoecology, Mongolian Academy of Sciences, Ulaanbaatar 15170, Mongolia; Division of Natural Sciences, National University of Mongolia, Ulaanbaatar, 210646 Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia.

出版信息

Sci Total Environ. 2021 Dec 15;800:149433. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.149433. Epub 2021 Aug 2.

Abstract

Greenhouse gases (GHGs) released from permafrost regions may have a positive feedback to climate change, but there is much uncertainty about additional warming from the permafrost carbon cycle. One of the main reasons for this uncertainty is that the observation data of large-scale GHG concentrations are sparse, especially for areas with rapid permafrost degradation. We selected the Mongolian Plateau as the study area. We first analyzed the active layer thickness and ground temperature changes using borehole observations. Based on ground observation data, we assessed the applicability of Greenhouse Gases Observing Satellite (GOSAT) carbon dioxide (CO) and methane (CH) datasets. Finally, we analyzed the temporal and spatial changes in near-surface CO and CH concentrations from 2010 to 2017 and their patterns in different permafrost regions. The results showed that the Mongolian permafrost has been experiencing rapid degradation. The annual average near-surface CO concentration increased gradually between 2.19 ppmv/yr and 2.38 ppmv/yr, whereas the near-surface CH concentration increased significantly from 7.76 ppbv/yr to 8.49 ppbv/yr. There were significant seasonal variations in near-surface CO and CH concentrations for continuous, discontinuous, sporadic, and isolated permafrost zones. The continuous and discontinuous permafrost zones had lower near-surface CO and CH concentrations in summer and autumn, whereas sporadic and isolated permafrost zones had higher near-surface CO and CH concentrations in winter and spring. Our results indicated that climate warming led to rapid permafrost degradation, and carbon-based GHG concentrations also increased rapidly in Mongolia. Although, GHG concentrations increased at rates similar to the global average and many factors can account for their changes, GHG concentration in the permafrost regions merits more attention in the future because the spatiotemporal distribution has indicated a different driving force for regional warming.

摘要

温室气体(GHGs)从永久冻土地区释放可能对气候变化产生积极反馈,但对于永久冻土碳循环的额外变暖存在很大的不确定性。造成这种不确定性的一个主要原因是大规模温室气体浓度的观测数据稀疏,特别是在永久冻土退化迅速的地区。我们选择蒙古高原作为研究区域。我们首先使用钻孔观测分析了活动层厚度和地面温度的变化。基于地面观测数据,我们评估了温室气体观测卫星(GOSAT)二氧化碳(CO)和甲烷(CH)数据集的适用性。最后,我们分析了 2010 年至 2017 年近地表 CO 和 CH 浓度的时空变化及其在不同永久冻土区的分布模式。结果表明,蒙古永久冻土正在迅速退化。近地表 CO 浓度的年平均值逐渐增加,从 2.19 ppmv/yr 增加到 2.38 ppmv/yr,而近地表 CH 浓度则从 7.76 ppbv/yr 显著增加到 8.49 ppbv/yr。连续、不连续、零星和孤立的永久冻土区近地表 CO 和 CH 浓度具有显著的季节性变化。连续和不连续的永久冻土区夏季和秋季近地表 CO 和 CH 浓度较低,而零星和孤立的永久冻土区冬季和春季近地表 CO 和 CH 浓度较高。我们的研究结果表明,气候变暖导致了永久冻土的迅速退化,同时蒙古的碳基温室气体浓度也迅速增加。尽管温室气体浓度的增加速度与全球平均水平相似,并且有许多因素可以解释其变化,但未来仍需更加关注永久冻土地区的温室气体浓度,因为其时空分布表明了区域变暖的不同驱动力。

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