Yang Liu, Song Xiaoyu
China Metro Engineering Consulting Corporation, Building 9#, No.31 Xishiku Dajie, Xicheng Dist., Beijing, 100034 China.
Urban Rail Transit. 2021;7(3):240-255. doi: 10.1007/s40864-021-00153-8. Epub 2021 Aug 12.
In recent decades, the transit-oriented development (TOD) concept has been widely used all over the world, especially in China, for the massive construction of urban public transportation systems with rail transit as the backbone. However, it is not easy to make significant changes in a city while building a transportation system, and the transit-guided urban development expected by the TOD concept has not been completely realized. The transformation of nearby areas with the guidance of transit is also becoming the choice of many Chinese cities, especially for cities that have only had subways for a few years. Unlike other international metropolitan cities, with metro systems of considerable scale, the modernization process of most of the small and medium-sized cities in China is being carried out simultaneously with metro-based public transportation guidance. For cities which are still in their initial stage of the backbone public transportation system, there is not enough previous experience and evidence to support the suitability of TOD typological analysis based on the node-place model. More research based on the node-place model has also shown practical applications of the TOD in developed cities. However, there are very few studies that analyse cities in which rail transit and urban development are both in a period of rapid growth. The goal of this research is to identify which metro stations in these cities are suitable for TOD improvement and optimization. This article attempts to expand the willingness of residents on the basis of the traditional node-place model as one of the judgment indicators for evaluating whether existing stations and surrounding areas are suitable for TOD improvement. At the same time, traditional statistical analysis is combined with GIS and machine learning technology. Using this method, we propose the TOD improvement-oriented station area classification and identification method based on TOD typology theory. The results show that Ningbo's subway stations can be divided into four categories according to the suitability for TOD improvement, and we selected seven stations suitable for TOD improvement according to the characteristics of the node-place model. The practice in Ningbo has proved that this method is effective for identifying sites suitable for TOD improvement, especially for cities that have recently built subways.
近几十年来,以公共交通为导向的发展(TOD)理念在全球得到广泛应用,尤其是在中国,以轨道交通为骨干的城市公共交通系统大规模建设。然而,在建设交通系统的同时要在城市中做出重大改变并非易事,TOD理念所期望的以交通引导城市发展尚未完全实现。在交通引导下对周边地区进行改造也正成为许多中国城市的选择,特别是对于那些拥有地铁仅数年的城市。与其他拥有相当规模地铁系统的国际大都市不同,中国大多数中小城市的现代化进程是与基于地铁的公共交通引导同步进行的。对于仍处于骨干公共交通系统初始阶段的城市,以往没有足够的经验和证据来支持基于节点 - 场所模型的TOD类型分析的适用性。更多基于节点 - 场所模型的研究也展示了TOD在发达城市的实际应用。然而,很少有研究分析轨道交通和城市发展都处于快速增长阶段的城市。本研究的目标是确定这些城市中的哪些地铁站适合进行TOD改进和优化。本文试图在传统节点 - 场所模型的基础上扩展居民意愿,将其作为评估现有站点及周边地区是否适合TOD改进的判断指标之一。同时,将传统统计分析与GIS和机器学习技术相结合。利用这种方法,我们提出了基于TOD类型学理论的面向TOD改进的站点区域分类与识别方法。结果表明,宁波的地铁站根据TOD改进的适用性可分为四类,并且根据节点 - 场所模型的特征我们选取了七个适合TOD改进的站点。宁波的实践证明,这种方法对于识别适合TOD改进的地点是有效的,特别是对于最近新建地铁的城市。