School of Economics and Management, Yanshan University, 438, Hebei Avenue, Qinhuangdao City, 066004, Hebei, People's Republic of China.
School of Management Science and Engineering, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology (NUIST), No.219 Ningliu Road, Nanjing City,, Jiangsu Province, China.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2022 Jan;29(3):3808-3825. doi: 10.1007/s11356-021-15860-9. Epub 2021 Aug 16.
The Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) is an ambitious development project initiated by the Chinese government to foster economic progress worldwide. In this regard, this study aims to investigate the dynamics of energy, economy, and environment among 42 BRI developing countries using an annual frequency panel dataset from 1995 to 2019. The major findings from the econometric analyses revealed that higher levels of energy consumption, economic growth, population growth rate, and FDI inflows exhibit adverse environmental consequences by boosting the CO emission figures of the selected developing BRI member nations. However, it is interesting to observe that exploiting renewable energy sources, which are relatively cleaner compared to the traditionally-consumed fossil fuels, and fostering agricultural sector development can significantly improve environmental well-being by curbing the emission levels further. On the other hand, financial development is found to be ineffective in explaining the variations in the CO emission figures of the selected countries. Besides, the causality analysis shows that higher energy consumption, FDI inflows, and agricultural development cause environmental pollution by boosting CO emissions. However, economic growth, technology development, financial progress, and renewable energy consumption are evidenced to exhibit bidirectional causal associations with CO emissions. In line with these findings, several relevant policies can be recommended for the BRI to be environmentally sustainable.
“一带一路”倡议(BRI)是中国政府发起的一项雄心勃勃的发展项目,旨在促进全球经济进步。在这方面,本研究旨在使用 1995 年至 2019 年的年度频率面板数据集,研究 42 个“一带一路”发展中国家的能源、经济和环境动态。计量经济学分析的主要结果表明,更高的能源消耗、经济增长、人口增长率和外国直接投资流入水平通过提高选定的发展中“一带一路”成员国的 CO 排放量,对环境产生不利影响。然而,有趣的是,利用可再生能源,与传统消耗的化石燃料相比,可再生能源相对清洁,并促进农业部门发展,可以通过进一步抑制排放水平,显著改善环境福利。另一方面,金融发展被发现无法解释所选国家 CO 排放变化。此外,因果关系分析表明,更高的能源消耗、外国直接投资流入和农业发展通过提高 CO 排放导致环境污染。然而,经济增长、技术发展、金融进步和可再生能源消费被证明与 CO 排放之间存在双向因果关系。根据这些发现,可以为“一带一路”倡议推荐一些相关政策,以实现环境可持续性。