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多胞胎生育与低出生体重:来自韩国的证据。

Multiple births and low birth weight: Evidence from South Korea.

作者信息

Cho Hyunkuk, Lee Yong Woo

机构信息

School of Economics and Finance, Yeungnam University, Gyeongsan, South Korea.

出版信息

Am J Hum Biol. 2022 Mar;34(3):e23648. doi: 10.1002/ajhb.23648. Epub 2021 Aug 17.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

The proportion of multiple births has risen rapidly worldwide. Multiple births are likely to affect birth weight, which results in low birth weight (LBW) of less than 2500 g, possibly, because multiples are more likely to be born prematurely or less than 37 weeks into pregnancy. Using data from South Korea, this study aims to estimate the contribution of the rise in multiples to the rise in LBW incidence.

METHODS

Based on data from 2000 to 2017, we estimated the effect of multiples on LBW rates using linear regression analysis. Based on the regression analysis and the change in the proportion of multiples during this period, we calculated the contribution of the rise in multiples to the rise in LBW incidence using the total differential. In other words, we divided the change in LBW during the period due to the change in multiples by the total change during the period. The data are from the birth registry of the National Statistical Office, which contains information on the 8.4 million live births during the period 2000-2017.

RESULTS

We found that a 1 percentage point increase in multiples increases the proportion of LBWs by 0.495 percentage points. In addition, because the changes in the proportion of multiples and LBWs from 2000 to 2017 are 2.2 and 2.4 percentage points, respectively, 1.1 percentage points or 45.8% of the increase in LBWs over the period is due to the increase in multiples.

CONCLUSION

Since the Korean government introduced a measure to reduce the number of transferred embryos recently, one may expect that multiples in Korea would reduce in the near future, as it did in other countries. Subsequently, the incidence of LBW children is also likely to reduce, which is desirable in terms of the children's health outcomes.

摘要

目的

全球多胞胎的比例迅速上升。多胞胎可能会影响出生体重,导致出生体重低于2500克,这可能是因为多胞胎更有可能早产或孕期不足37周。本研究利用韩国的数据,旨在估计多胞胎比例上升对低出生体重发生率上升的影响。

方法

基于2000年至2017年的数据,我们使用线性回归分析估计多胞胎对低出生体重率的影响。基于回归分析以及该时期多胞胎比例的变化,我们使用全微分计算多胞胎比例上升对低出生体重发生率上升的影响。换句话说,我们将该时期因多胞胎变化导致的低出生体重变化除以该时期的总变化。数据来自国家统计局的出生登记处,其中包含2000 - 2017年期间840万例活产的信息。

结果

我们发现多胞胎比例每增加1个百分点,低出生体重儿的比例就增加0.495个百分点。此外,由于2000年至2017年多胞胎比例和低出生体重儿比例的变化分别为2.2个百分点和2.4个百分点,该时期低出生体重儿增加量的1.1个百分点或45.8%是由于多胞胎比例的增加。

结论

由于韩国政府最近出台了一项减少移植胚胎数量的措施,人们可能预计韩国的多胞胎数量在不久的将来会像其他国家一样减少。随后,低出生体重儿童的发生率也可能会降低,这对儿童的健康结果来说是可取的。

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