Environmental Engineering, Akdeniz University, Antalya, Turkey.
J Air Waste Manag Assoc. 2021 Dec;71(12):1545-1554. doi: 10.1080/10962247.2021.1972055. Epub 2021 Sep 16.
Bilge water waste poses an environmental risk for humans and marine creatures by causing cancer and developmental disorders due to the toxic substances. This study aims to create a calculation method to calculate the amount of bilge that a ship can produce. The number of ships and the amount of bilge water that they have given the port waste reception facilities in the past years were collected to prevent marine pollution caused by ships in the Gulf of Antalya. The amount of possible future bilge water discharge in the gulf was estimated by using the collected data by linear regression method. The risk distribution of the amount of bilge water that a ship can produce was determined with the data obtained by the Monte Carlo method for the first time in this study. As a result, although the number of ships in the gulf will decrease in number, it is predicted that the amount of bilge water discharge and the needs of a waste receptions facility will increase in the coming years. It is found that the amount of bilge water that a ship can generate will vary in 0.78-3.16 m, and this data can apply to every ship type. Since the calculation method used in this study can be used for each region with all ship types in calculating the amount of bilge waste a ship can produce, it ensures that the inspections made are more effective. Thus, the management of wastes originating from ships can be effectively and adequately implemented by those who carry out wastes, and marine pollution from ships can be prevented.: Bilge water waste poses an environmental risk for humans and marine creatures by causing cancer and developmental disorders due to the toxic substances. So, It's crucial to manage bilge water waste properly. This study creates a calculation method to calculate the bilge water waste that a ship can produce for applying bilge water waste management. When the studies on the amount of bilge water being discharged into the sea, it is seen that the amount of bilge water that a ship can generate is identified for ships with certain characteristics. However, since the amount of bilge a ship can produce depends on many factors such as engine power, cruise time, and ship's age, these data are insufficient and not usable because it is difficult to predict the type and number of ships in the coming years. This calculation model is simulated most realistically with the calculation to make with the linear regression and Monte Carlo method used for the first time in this study.
舱底水废物含有有毒物质，会导致癌症和发育障碍，因此对人类和海洋生物构成环境风险。本研究旨在创建一种计算方法，以计算船舶产生的舱底水量。收集了过去几年船舶数量以及它们向港口废物接收设施排放的舱底水量，以防止在安塔利亚湾造成船舶造成的海洋污染。通过线性回归方法使用收集到的数据估算了未来海湾可能排放的舱底水量。本研究首次使用蒙特卡罗方法确定了船舶可能产生的舱底水量的风险分布。结果表明，尽管海湾中的船舶数量将会减少，但预计未来几年舱底水排放量和废物接收设施的需求将会增加。研究发现，船舶产生的舱底水量在 0.78-3.16 米之间变化，并且该数据可适用于每种船舶类型。由于本研究中使用的计算方法可以用于计算每艘船舶的舱底水废物排放量，因此可以确保检查更加有效。因此，那些进行废物处理的人可以通过使用该计算方法对每个区域的所有船舶类型进行计算，以有效和充分地管理船舶产生的废物，从而防止船舶造成的海洋污染。
