Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Wuhan University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430065, China.
School of Economics and Management, University of Science and Technology Beijing, Beijing 100083, China.
J Hazard Mater. 2021 Aug 15;416:126051. doi: 10.1016/j.jhazmat.2021.126051. Epub 2021 May 13.
Ambient fine particulate matter (PM) has been linked to various cardiovascular disease (CVD) endpoints. However, little is known regarding the health effects of PM constituents. This study aimed to assess the associations of CVD incidence with long-term exposures to PM constituents in China, including black carbon (BC), organic matter (OM), sulfate (SO), nitrate (NO) and ammonium (NH).
A nationwide cohort of 14,331 adults were drawn from the China Family Panel Study, a high-quality longitudinal survey initiated from 2010 over 25 provincial regions in China. We used the baseline survey and the ensuing three waves of follow-up data during 2010-2017 to conceive our study cohort. Annual county-level exposures of PM and its constituents for each participant were assessed by aggregating satellite-derived estimates at a monthly time-scale and 1 km-resolution. A directed acyclic graph (DAG) was developed to identify confounding variables. Cox proportional hazards models with time-varying exposures and province-level random intercepts were employed to quantify associations of CVD incidence with long-term exposures to PM and its constituents.
During 84,162.4 person-years' follow-up, a total of 1575 CVD, 953 hypertension and 342 stroke incidents occurred. DAG-based Cox model estimated an hazard ratio (HR) of 1.291 (95% confidence interval: 1.147-1.454) for total CVD and 1.326 (1.151-1.528) for hypertension, associated with per interquartile range (IQR=27.9 μg/m) increase in exposure to PM mass. Elevated CVD risks were also significantly related to several PM constituents, with the largest HRs observed in SO (1.721 [1.517-1.951], IQR = 5.67 μg/m), followed by NH (1.537 [1.341-1.762], IQR = 4.44 μg/m), NO (1.311 [1.128-1.523], IQR = 8.92 μg/m) and BC (1.294 [1.158-1.446], IQR = 2.28 μg/m). No associations were identified between long-term exposures to particulate constituents and incidence of stroke. Associations with PM and constituents (BC, NO, NH and SO) were more pronounced among adults aged over 50 years, and residents in southern region.
Long-term exposures to PM mass and specific constituents (i.e., BC, NO, NH and SO) were associated with increased risks of total CVD and hypertension incidence in Chinese adults. Findings may have implications for in-depth understandings of biological mechanisms in chronic impacts of ambient PM on cardiovascular health.
环境细颗粒物(PM)已与各种心血管疾病(CVD)终点相关联。然而,关于 PM 成分对健康的影响知之甚少。本研究旨在评估中国 CVD 发病率与 PM 成分的长期暴露之间的关联,包括黑碳(BC)、有机物(OM)、硫酸盐(SO)、硝酸盐(NO)和铵(NH)。
从中国家庭纵向调查中抽取了 14331 名成年人组成一个全国性队列,该调查是一项从 2010 年开始在中国 25 个省级地区进行的高质量纵向调查。我们使用基线调查和 2010-2017 年期间的随后三次随访数据来构思我们的研究队列。通过将卫星衍生的估计值按每月时间尺度和 1km 分辨率聚合,评估每个参与者的年度县级 PM 及其成分的暴露情况。使用有向无环图(DAG)来确定混杂变量。使用具有时变暴露和省级随机截距的 Cox 比例风险模型来量化 CVD 发病率与 PM 及其成分的长期暴露之间的关联。
在 84162.4 人年的随访期间,共发生了 1575 例 CVD、953 例高血压和 342 例中风事件。基于 DAG 的 Cox 模型估计,与 PM 质量每增加一个四分位距(IQR=27.9μg/m)相关的总 CVD 的风险比(HR)为 1.291(95%置信区间:1.147-1.454),与高血压相关的 HR 为 1.326(1.151-1.528)。CVD 风险的升高也与几种 PM 成分显著相关,最大的 HR 见于 SO(1.721 [1.517-1.951],IQR=5.67μg/m),其次是 NH(1.537 [1.341-1.762],IQR=4.44μg/m)、NO(1.311 [1.128-1.523],IQR=8.92μg/m)和 BC(1.294 [1.158-1.446],IQR=2.28μg/m)。长期暴露于颗粒成分与中风发病率之间没有关联。在年龄大于 50 岁的成年人以及南部地区居民中,与 PM 和成分(BC、NO、NH 和 SO)的长期暴露与总 CVD 和高血压发病率的升高更为明显。
中国成年人 PM 质量和特定成分(即 BC、NO、NH 和 SO)的长期暴露与总 CVD 和高血压发病率的升高有关。研究结果可能有助于深入了解环境 PM 对心血管健康的慢性影响的生物学机制。