Department of Economics, New Jersey City University, Jersey City, NJ 07305, USA.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2021 Aug 29;18(17):9120. doi: 10.3390/ijerph18179120.
Overall, there has been an increasing trend in the perceived risk of harm from smoking among U.S. high school seniors. However, these perceptions of risk have been falling in recent years. This study uses regional-level panel data from the Monitoring the Future survey and a fixed effects model to estimate the effect of perceived risk on three regional measurements of smoking behavior: consumption, lifetime prevalence, and daily smoking prevalence. Elasticity measurements at regional levels show that an increase in perceived risk decreases these regional measurements of smoking behavior. Moreover, the results show that, at regional levels, these measurements of smoking behavior are more responsive to changes in the perceived risk associated with smoking than to changes in the price of cigarettes.
总的来说，美国高中生对吸烟危害的感知风险呈上升趋势。然而，近年来这种风险感知有所下降。本研究使用来自“监测未来”调查的地区层面面板数据和固定效应模型，来估计感知风险对吸烟行为的三个地区性衡量指标的影响：消费、终身流行率和每日吸烟流行率。地区层面的弹性测量结果表明，感知风险的增加会降低这些吸烟行为的地区性衡量指标。此外，研究结果表明，在地区层面上，这些吸烟行为的衡量指标对与吸烟相关的感知风险变化的反应程度要高于对香烟价格变化的反应程度。
