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对澳大利亚全球化-CO 排放关系进行建模:分位数-分位数方法的证据。

Modelling the globalization-CO emission nexus in Australia: evidence from quantile-on-quantile approach.

机构信息

Faculty of Economics and Administrative Science, Department of Business Administration, Cyprus International University, Northern Cyprus 10, Mersin, Turkey.

Department of Finance & Accounting, AKFA University, 1st Deadlock, 10th Kukcha Darvoza Street, Tashkent, Uzbekistan.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2022 Feb;29(7):9867-9882. doi: 10.1007/s11356-021-16368-y. Epub 2021 Sep 10.

Abstract

Sustainable development policies for achieving net-zero emissions require understanding the factors that influence carbon emissions. Capitalizing on the limitations of the existing literature, this study applies the quantile-on-quantile approach to investigate economic globalization's impact on carbon emissions in Australia for 1970-2018. The results from the quantile-on-quantile revealed a positive feedback linkage between globalization and carbon emissions at all quantiles. The results further indicated that while there is a positive feedback linkage between economic growth and carbon emissions at most quantiles, a positive feedback interconnection exists between carbon emissions and coal consumption at all quantiles. As a robustness check, we employed the quantile regression test, and the results from quantile regression are consistent with the findings from the quantile-on-quantile approach. The consistency of the results suggests that these study findings are reliable and suitable for informing policies that seek to address carbon emissions in Australia. The policy implications for Australia are discussed.

摘要

实现净零排放的可持续发展政策需要了解影响碳排放的因素。本研究利用现有文献的局限性,采用分位数-分位数方法研究经济全球化对澳大利亚 1970-2018 年碳排放的影响。分位数-分位数的结果表明,全球化与碳排放在所有分位数上都存在正反馈关系。结果还表明,虽然在大多数分位数上经济增长与碳排放之间存在正反馈关系,但在所有分位数上碳排放与煤炭消费之间都存在正反馈联系。作为稳健性检验,我们采用了分位数回归检验,分位数回归的结果与分位数-分位数方法的结果一致。结果的一致性表明,这些研究结果是可靠的,适合为澳大利亚的减排政策提供信息。讨论了对澳大利亚的政策影响。

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