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可再生能源电力和经济复杂度指数有助于实现主要出口国家的碳中和目标吗?

Does renewable energy electricity and economic complexity index help to achieve carbon neutrality target of top exporting countries?

作者信息

Li Hai-Shi, Geng Yao-Chen, Shinwari Riazullah, Yangjie Wang, Rjoub Husam

机构信息

Business School, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, 100875, China.

Whiting School of Engineering, Johns Hopkins University, 3400 North Charles Street, Baltimore, MD, 21218, USA.

出版信息

J Environ Manage. 2021 Dec 1;299:113386. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2021.113386. Epub 2021 Sep 13.

Abstract

Despite extensive studies into international trade and CO pollution, a panel of only top exporting economies was not considered. As the current research is an endeavor to address the gap by exploring the impact of economic complexity index (ECI) and renewable energy electricity (RELC) on consumption-based carbon emissions (CCO in the presences of exports, imports, and gross domestic product (GDP) in the top exporting countries from 1990 to 2019. The results confirm a relationship between consumption-based carbon emissions, economic complexity index, renewable energy electricity, exports, imports, and economic growth in both the short-run and long run. Empirical evidence for cross-sectional auto-regressive distributed lags (CS-ARDL) estimates, confirms that economic complexity index imports and GDP are positively associated and have significant adverse short-run and long-run impacts on consumption-based carbon emission. Whereas, export and renewable energy electricity significantly reduce carbon emissions. To achieve carbon neutrality target, policymakers should make economic complexity reforms, import green products, and promote investments in sustainable sources.

摘要

尽管对国际贸易和一氧化碳污染进行了广泛研究,但未考虑仅由顶级出口经济体组成的小组。由于当前的研究旨在通过探索经济复杂度指数(ECI)和可再生能源电力(RELC)对1990年至2019年顶级出口国家基于消费的碳排放(CCO)的影响来填补这一空白,这些影响因素包括出口、进口和国内生产总值(GDP)。结果证实了在短期和长期内,基于消费的碳排放、经济复杂度指数、可再生能源电力、出口、进口和经济增长之间的关系。横截面自回归分布滞后(CS-ARDL)估计的经验证据证实,经济复杂度指数、进口和GDP呈正相关,并且对基于消费的碳排放具有显著的短期和长期不利影响。而出口和可再生能源电力则显著减少碳排放。为实现碳中和目标,政策制定者应进行经济复杂度改革,进口绿色产品,并促进对可持续能源的投资。

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